Cearense - 2 · Apr 04, 2026 19:00
Barbalha
PWR 35
Barbalha
PWR 35
VS
Guaraní de Bagé
PWR 36
PWR 36
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Under 2.5
Goals · Low scoring expected: 1.4 total goals avg
80%
accuracy
1.7x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Guaraní de Bagé Win
Score
?
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (45%)1-0 (25%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (7%)1-1 (6%)2-1 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
5%
Under 2.5
95%
95%
BTTS
No
No 9%
Over 3.5
12%
Team Comparison
0Attack35
100Defense52
Goals/G
0.01.0
Conc/G
0.01.4
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Barbalha
LDDDD
STABLE
Guaraní de Bagé
LLDDL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_POSITION_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 100% at home = very high riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 4/5 recent gamesCombined DR 125% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.7%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
0.56
Barbalhavs
0.24
Guaraní de BagéGoal Probability
Barbalha
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Guaraní de …
0
79%
1
19%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (16%)0-1 (15%)1-0 (15%)1-1 (14%)0-2 (7%)2-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 2.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#16
Barbalha-11
Gap#5
Guaraní de …
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 18% 11 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barbalha | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Guaraní de Ba… | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 11 |
Barbalha
8.0%
| Mar 28 | Barbalha v CSA | 1-0 |
| Mar 14 | Barbalha v Crato | 0-0 |
| Feb 27 | Barbalha v Iguatu | 3-3 |
| Feb 22 | Barbalha v Cariri | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Barbalha v Floresta | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Barbalha v Maracan… | 4-1 |
Guaraní de Bagé
4.0%
| Mar 29 | Guaraní… v Caucaia | 0-1 |
| Mar 22 | Guaraní… v Crato | 1-0 |
| Mar 22 | Guaraní… v Uniclin… | 2-2 |
| Mar 15 | Guaraní… v Cariri | 0-0 |
| Mar 11 | Guaraní… v Ponte P… | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Guaraní… v Monsoon | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Guaraní… v Avenida | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | Guaraní… v Caxias | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Guaraní… v Inter S… | 0-1 |
| Feb 16 | Guaraní… v Inter S… | 3-2 |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
63%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Guaraní de Bagé struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.