Bundesliga · Apr 05, 2026 15:00

Rapid Wien
PWR 35
2-3
predicted

Sturm Graz
PWR 35
49% 24% 27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Rapid Wien Win
Score
2-3
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (9%)3-1 (7%)2-0 (7%)2-1 (6%)1-0 (4%)1-1 (3%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5 65%
65%
Under 2.5
35%
BTTS
Yes 53%
Over 3.5
22%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Rapid Wien WWWDW
UP
Sturm Graz DWWDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Similar PPG = 32.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskElevated draw risk (22.8%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/0 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.83
Rapid Wien
vs
0.79
Sturm Graz
Goal Probability
Rapid Wien
0
2%
1
8%
2
16%
3
20%
4
20%
Sturm Graz
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (12%)0-1 (10%)0-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 91% 9% OVER
1.5 69% 31% OVER
2.5 43% 57% -
3.5 22% 78% UNDER
4.5 10% 91% UNDER
5.5 4% 97% UNDER
6.5 1% 99% UNDER
League Position
#5
Rapid Wien
-4
Gap
#1
Sturm Graz
WR 46% 33 pts WR 64% 38 pts
Rapid Wien 18.0%
Mar 22 Rapid W… v LASK Li… 4-2
Mar 15 Rapid W… v RB Salz… 0-1
Mar 08 Rapid W… v RB Salz… 1-0
Mar 01 Rapid W… v SCR Alt… 1-1
Feb 21 Rapid W… v Wolfsbe… 2-0
Feb 15 Rapid W… v Austria… 2-0
Feb 07 Rapid W… v TSV Har… 1-1
Jan 31 Rapid W… v Ried 3-0
Dec 18 Rapid W… v Zrinjski 1-1
Dec 14 Rapid W… v FC BW L… 1-1
Sturm Graz 16.0%
Mar 20 Sturm G… v RB Salz… 1-1
Mar 15 Sturm G… v Austria… 2-5
Mar 08 Sturm G… v SCR Alt… 2-0
Mar 01 Sturm G… v Wolfsbe… 2-2
Feb 22 Sturm G… v FC BW L… 1-0
Feb 14 Sturm G… v WSG Wat… 1-0
Feb 08 Sturm G… v Ried 1-0
Feb 01 Sturm G… v SCR Alt… 3-1
Jan 29 Sturm G… v Brann 1-0
Jan 22 Sturm G… v Feyenoo… 3-0
Head-to-Head (6)
Nov 02, 2025 Rapid Wien 2-1 Sturm Graz
Aug 10, 2025 Sturm Graz 1-2 Rapid Wien
May 18, 2025 Rapid Wien 3-1 Sturm Graz
May 01, 2024 Rapid Wien 2-1 Sturm Graz
Apr 24, 2024 Rapid Wien 1-3 Sturm Graz
Apr 19, 2024 Sturm Graz 1-0 Rapid Wien
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
42%
Market
50%
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Rapid Wien in strong form (4W in last 5)
Sturm Graz in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.