Segunda División · Apr 05, 2026 20:00
Provincial Ovalle
PWR 48
Provincial Ovalle
PWR 48
2-1
predicted
Concón National
PWR 49
PWR 49
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Provincial Ovalle to win (81% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
81%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (5%)3-2 (4%)2-1 (3%)3-0 (3%)2-2 (3%)3-3 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
64%
64%
Under 2.5
36%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 81%
Over 3.5
56%
56%
Team Comparison
48Attack57
57Defense50
Goals/G
1.41.6
Conc/G
1.21.4
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Provincial Ova…
DDDDL
STABLE
Concón National
DWWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Segunda División
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Provincial Ova…vs
1.72
Concón NationalGoal Probability
Provincial …
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Concón Nati…
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4
7%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (8%)1-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)1-2 (7%)3-1 (6%)3-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 4.5 | 37% | 64% | - |
| 5.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Provincial …+5
Gap#6
Concón Nati…
WR 38% 97 pts
WR 39% 44 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Provincial Ov… | 68 | 26 | 19 | 23 | 94 | 84 | 97 |
| Concón Nation… | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 54 | 47 | 44 |
Provincial Ova…
8.0%
| Mar 21 | Provinc… v Municip… | 0-0 |
| Nov 29 | Provinc… v Municip… | 1-1 |
| Nov 22 | Provinc… v Santiag… | 3-3 |
| Nov 21 | Provinc… v Municip… | 1-1 |
| Nov 08 | Provinc… v Deporte… | 2-0 |
| Nov 08 | Provinc… v Real Sa… | 1-0 |
| Oct 26 | Provinc… v Deporte… | 6-1 |
| Oct 13 | Provinc… v Real Sa… | 2-1 |
| Oct 11 | Provinc… v Linares… | 1-0 |
| Oct 05 | Provinc… v Deporte… | 2-4 |
Concón National
10.0%
| Mar 21 | Concón … v Trasand… | 1-1 |
| Nov 22 | Concón … v Deporte… | 6-0 |
| Nov 10 | Concón … v San Ant… | 1-3 |
| Oct 25 | Concón … v Municip… | 0-2 |
| Oct 12 | Concón … v Deporte… | 4-0 |
| Sep 14 | Concón … v Provinc… | 0-2 |
| Sep 07 | Concón … v Santiag… | 4-2 |
| Aug 23 | Concón … v Provinc… | 2-2 |
| Aug 16 | Concón … v Trasand… | 0-1 |
| Aug 02 | Concón … v Linares… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Sep 14, 2025 | Provincial Ov… | 0-2 | Concón Nation… |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Concón Nation… | 2-2 | Provincial Ov… |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Concón Nation… | 0-3 | Provincial Ov… |
| Apr 05, 2025 | Provincial Ov… | 1-3 | Concón Nation… |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Concón Nation… | 0-1 | Provincial Ov… |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.