Serie A · Apr 01, 2026 23:00
Cruzeiro
PWR 35
Vitoria
PWR 35
Cruzeiro
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Vitoria
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (16%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (12%)0-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
84%
Home/Draw
1.25x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.58x
Over 2.5
38%
Under 2.5
62%
62%
BTTS
No 41%
Over 3.5
32%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Cruzeiro
DLDLW
STABLE
Vitoria
WLWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 75% at home = very high riskH2H: 3/8 draws (38%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 108% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Cruzeirovs
0.74
VitoriaGoal Probability
Cruzeiro
0
22%
1
34%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Vitoria
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)2-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 78% | 22% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 54% | 46% | - |
| 3.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#20
Cruzeiro-10
Gap#10
Vitoria
WR 0% 4 pts
WR 0% 10 pts
Cruzeiro
8.0%
| Mar 22 | Cruzeiro v Santos | 0-0 |
| Mar 18 | Cruzeiro v Athleti… | 2-1 |
| Mar 15 | Cruzeiro v Vasco D… | 3-3 |
| Mar 12 | Cruzeiro v Flamengo | 2-0 |
| Mar 08 | Cruzeiro v Atletic… | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Cruzeiro v Pouso A… | 1-0 |
| Feb 25 | Cruzeiro v Corinth… | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | Cruzeiro v Platense | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Cruzeiro v Pouso A… | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | Cruzeiro v Uniao T… | 1-2 |
Vitoria
8.0%
| Mar 28 | Vitoria v CRB | 2-4 |
| Mar 25 | Vitoria v Botafogo | 1-2 |
| Mar 22 | Vitoria v Mirassol | 1-0 |
| Mar 19 | Vitoria v Remo | 2-0 |
| Mar 14 | Vitoria v Porto V… | 1-5 |
| Mar 14 | Vitoria v Atletic… | 2-0 |
| Mar 11 | Vitoria v Bahia | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Vitoria v Porto V… | 0-4 |
| Mar 07 | Vitoria v Bahia | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Vitoria v Fortale… | 4-1 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Nov 01, 2025 | Cruzeiro | 3-1 | Vitoria |
| Jun 12, 2025 | Vitoria | 0-0 | Cruzeiro |
| Aug 19, 2024 | Vitoria | 2-2 | Cruzeiro |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Cruzeiro | 3-1 | Vitoria |
| Nov 14, 2021 | Vitoria | 3-0 | Cruzeiro |
| Aug 11, 2021 | Cruzeiro | 2-2 | Vitoria |
| Dec 12, 2020 | Vitoria | 0-1 | Cruzeiro |
| Sep 12, 2020 | Cruzeiro | 1-0 | Vitoria |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
71%
Standings
30%
Market
62%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Vitoria struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.