Serie A · Apr 01, 2026 23:00
Bahia
PWR 35
Athletico Paranaense
PWR 35
Bahia
PWR 35
2-2
predicted
Athletico Paranaense
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Bahia Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (11%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (6%)2-1 (4%)1-0 (4%)1-1 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.35x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.14x
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
No 42%
Over 3.5
33%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Bahia
LWWDW
STABLE
Athletico Para…
LWWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
Full data available (Tier 1)WR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 67% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateCombined DR 100% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (30.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.14
Bahiavs
0.56
Athletico Para…Goal Probability
Bahia
0
2%
1
7%
2
14%
3
19%
4
20%
Athletico P…
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)2-1 (9%)1-0 (9%)2-0 (8%)1-2 (7%)0-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 3.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Bahia-4
Gap#2
Athletico P…
WR 33% 14 pts
WR 33% 16 pts
Bahia
14.0%
| Mar 22 | Bahia v Remo | 4-1 |
| Mar 18 | Bahia v RB Brag… | 2-0 |
| Mar 15 | Bahia v Interna… | 0-1 |
| Mar 11 | Bahia v Vitoria | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Bahia v Vitoria | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Bahia v Figueir… | 4-2 |
| Feb 25 | Bahia v O'Higgi… | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Bahia v Atlétic… | 2-4 |
| Feb 18 | Bahia v O'Higgi… | 1-0 |
| Feb 12 | Bahia v Vasco D… | 0-1 |
Athletico Para…
12.0%
| Mar 29 | Athleti… v Porto V… | 3-2 |
| Mar 29 | Athleti… v Botafogo | 4-1 |
| Mar 26 | Athleti… v Anápolis | 1-0 |
| Mar 22 | Athleti… v Corinth… | 2-0 |
| Mar 21 | Athleti… v Operári… | 1-0 |
| Mar 21 | Athleti… v Piauà | 0-0 |
| Mar 18 | Athleti… v Cruzeiro | 2-1 |
| Mar 15 | Athleti… v Goiás | 0-0 |
| Mar 15 | Athleti… v Flumine… | 3-2 |
| Mar 07 | Athleti… v Santos | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 24, 2024 | Bahia | 1-1 | Athletico Par… |
| Jul 10, 2024 | Athletico Par… | 1-3 | Bahia |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Bahia | 1-1 | Athletico Par… |
| Jul 16, 2023 | Athletico Par… | 2-0 | Bahia |
| Jul 12, 2022 | Athletico Par… | 2-1 | Bahia |
| Jun 22, 2022 | Bahia | 1-2 | Athletico Par… |
| Oct 09, 2021 | Athletico Par… | 0-2 | Bahia |
| Jun 25, 2021 | Bahia | 2-1 | Athletico Par… |
| Jan 20, 2021 | Bahia | 1-0 | Athletico Par… |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Athletico Par… | 1-0 | Bahia |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
42%
Market
56%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Bahia in strong form (3W in last 5)
Athletico Paranaense in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.