Serie A · Apr 01, 2026 23:30
Corinthians
PWR 35
Vasco DA Gama
PWR 35
Corinthians
PWR 35
1-2
predicted
Vasco DA Gama
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Corinthians Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (11%)3-0 (11%)2-1 (8%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)1-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.57x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.67x
Over 2.5
62%
62%
Under 2.5
38%
BTTS
No 50%
Over 3.5
20%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Corinthians
DLDWW
STABLE
Vasco DA Gama
WWDWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (31.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.79
Corinthiansvs
0.75
Vasco DA GamaGoal Probability
Corinthians
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
Vasco DA Ga…
0
47%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (13%)0-1 (11%)0-0 (10%)2-1 (8%)2-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 67% | 34% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 3.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Corinthians-2
Gap#9
Vasco DA Ga…
WR 25% 10 pts
WR 0% 11 pts
Corinthians
12.0%
| Mar 22 | Corinth… v Flamengo | 1-1 |
| Mar 22 | Corinth… v Athleti… | 2-0 |
| Mar 20 | Corinth… v Chapeco… | 0-0 |
| Mar 18 | Corinth… v Mirassol | 0-1 |
| Mar 15 | Corinth… v Remo | 1-0 |
| Mar 15 | Corinth… v Santos | 1-1 |
| Mar 14 | Corinth… v Naciona… | 2-0 |
| Mar 12 | Corinth… v Corinth… | 0-2 |
| Mar 07 | Corinth… v Amazonas | 1-1 |
| Mar 04 | Corinth… v Princes… | 2-0 |
Vasco DA Gama
16.0%
| Mar 22 | Vasco D… v Remo | 2-1 |
| Mar 19 | Vasco D… v Flumine… | 3-2 |
| Mar 15 | Vasco D… v Cruzeiro | 3-3 |
| Mar 12 | Vasco D… v Palmeir… | 2-1 |
| Mar 05 | Vasco D… v São Fra… | 2-2 |
| Mar 01 | Vasco D… v Flumine… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Vasco D… v Galvez | 5-2 |
| Feb 26 | Vasco D… v Santos | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Vasco D… v Flumine… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Vasco D… v Volta R… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 21, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama | 1-2 | Corinthians |
| Dec 18, 2025 | Corinthians | 0-0 | Vasco DA Gama |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama | 2-3 | Corinthians |
| Apr 05, 2025 | Corinthians | 3-0 | Vasco DA Gama |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Corinthians | 3-1 | Vasco DA Gama |
| Jul 10, 2024 | Vasco DA Gama | 2-0 | Corinthians |
| Nov 29, 2023 | Vasco DA Gama | 2-4 | Corinthians |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Corinthians | 3-1 | Vasco DA Gama |
| Feb 21, 2021 | Corinthians | 0-0 | Vasco DA Gama |
| Oct 22, 2020 | Vasco DA Gama | 1-2 | Corinthians |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
46%
Market
42%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Vasco DA Gama in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.