Serie A · Apr 01, 2026 22:30
Botafogo
PWR 35
Mirassol
PWR 35
Botafogo
PWR 35
3-1
predicted
Mirassol
PWR 35
59%
22%
19%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Botafogo Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (18%)2-0 (17%)3-0 (11%)0-0 (10%)1-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.46x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.88x
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
No
No 31%
Over 3.5
31%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Botafogo
DLWWD
STABLE
Mirassol
LLLDL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (29.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
Botafogovs
0.45
MirassolGoal Probability
Botafogo
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Mirassol
0
64%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)0-1 (7%)1-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 77% | 24% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 53% | 47% | - |
| 3.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#17
Botafogo+1
Gap#18
Mirassol
WR 50% 6 pts
WR 0% 6 pts
Botafogo
12.0%
| Mar 29 | Botafogo v ASA | 2-2 |
| Mar 29 | Botafogo v Athleti… | 4-1 |
| Mar 25 | Botafogo v Vitoria | 1-2 |
| Mar 21 | Botafogo v Fortale… | 4-0 |
| Mar 21 | Botafogo v Sousa | 0-0 |
| Mar 21 | Botafogo v RB Brag… | 1-2 |
| Mar 18 | Botafogo v Palmeir… | 2-1 |
| Mar 15 | Botafogo v Sousa | 1-2 |
| Mar 14 | Botafogo v Flamengo | 0-3 |
| Mar 11 | Botafogo v Barcelo… | 0-1 |
Mirassol
2.0%
| Mar 22 | Mirassol v Vitoria | 1-0 |
| Mar 18 | Mirassol v Corinth… | 0-1 |
| Mar 15 | Mirassol v Palmeir… | 1-0 |
| Mar 11 | Mirassol v Santos | 2-2 |
| Feb 15 | Mirassol v Portugu… | 1-2 |
| Feb 11 | Mirassol v Cruzeiro | 2-2 |
| Feb 08 | Mirassol v Capivar… | 1-0 |
| Feb 04 | Mirassol v Remo | 2-2 |
| Feb 02 | Mirassol v Novoriz… | 1-1 |
| Jan 29 | Mirassol v Vasco D… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Nov 01, 2025 | Mirassol | 0-0 | Botafogo |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Botafogo | 3-3 | Mirassol |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
86%
Standings
67%
Market
49%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Mirassol struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.