Serie A · Apr 02, 2026 00:30
Fluminense
PWR 35
Corinthians
PWR 35
Fluminense
PWR 35
3-1
predicted
Corinthians
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Fluminense Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (29%)0-0 (28%)2-0 (16%)1-1 (6%)0-1 (6%)3-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.35x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.07x
Over 2.5
14%
Under 2.5
86%
86%
BTTS
No
No 13%
Over 3.5
7%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Fluminense
LDWLW
STABLE
Corinthians
DLDWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Both teams defensive = 40.0% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskAway draws 75% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 100% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (33.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Fluminensevs
0.22
CorinthiansGoal Probability
Fluminense
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Corinthians
0
80%
1
18%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (21%)1-0 (17%)0-1 (15%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (7%)0-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 2.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Fluminense+7
Gap#11
Corinthians
WR 100% 16 pts
WR 25% 10 pts
Fluminense
10.0%
| Mar 29 | Flumine… v Confian… | 2-0 |
| Mar 25 | Flumine… v Figueir… | 1-1 |
| Mar 21 | Flumine… v Atletic… | 1-0 |
| Mar 19 | Flumine… v Vasco D… | 3-2 |
| Mar 15 | Flumine… v Athleti… | 3-2 |
| Mar 14 | Flumine… v Piauà | 3-1 |
| Mar 12 | Flumine… v Remo | 0-2 |
| Mar 11 | Flumine… v Goiás | 3-0 |
| Mar 08 | Flumine… v Flamengo | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | Flumine… v Sousa | 0-1 |
Corinthians
12.0%
| Mar 22 | Corinth… v Flamengo | 1-1 |
| Mar 22 | Corinth… v Athleti… | 2-0 |
| Mar 20 | Corinth… v Chapeco… | 0-0 |
| Mar 18 | Corinth… v Mirassol | 0-1 |
| Mar 15 | Corinth… v Remo | 1-0 |
| Mar 15 | Corinth… v Santos | 1-1 |
| Mar 14 | Corinth… v Naciona… | 2-0 |
| Mar 12 | Corinth… v Corinth… | 0-2 |
| Mar 07 | Corinth… v Amazonas | 1-1 |
| Mar 04 | Corinth… v Princes… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Sep 14, 2025 | Fluminense | 0-1 | Corinthians |
| Jun 10, 2025 | Corinthians | 3-3 | Fluminense |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Corinthians | 0-2 | Fluminense |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Fluminense | 0-0 | Corinthians |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Corinthians | 3-0 | Fluminense |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Fluminense | 2-1 | Corinthians |
| Oct 20, 2023 | Fluminense | 3-3 | Corinthians |
| May 28, 2023 | Corinthians | 2-0 | Fluminense |
| Oct 27, 2022 | Corinthians | 0-2 | Fluminense |
| Sep 15, 2022 | Corinthians | 3-0 | Fluminense |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
78%
Standings
74%
Market
54%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.