Serie A · Apr 05, 2026 23:00
Mirassol
PWR 35
RB Bragantino
PWR 35
Mirassol
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
RB Bragantino
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (53% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
53%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (20%)1-0 (17%)3-0 (16%)0-0 (7%)2-1 (6%)1-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS
No
No 22%
Over 3.5
19%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Mirassol
LLLDL
DOWN
RB Bragantino
LLLDD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 3/7 draws (43%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.39
Mirassolvs
0.28
RB BragantinoGoal Probability
Mirassol
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
RB Braganti…
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (12%)0-1 (11%)0-0 (10%)2-1 (8%)2-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 3.5 | 20% | 81% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#18
Mirassol-4
Gap#14
RB Braganti…
WR 25% 6 pts
WR 25% 8 pts
Mirassol
2.0%
| Mar 22 | Mirassol v Vitoria | 1-0 |
| Mar 18 | Mirassol v Corinth… | 0-1 |
| Mar 15 | Mirassol v Palmeir… | 1-0 |
| Mar 11 | Mirassol v Santos | 2-2 |
| Feb 15 | Mirassol v Portugu… | 1-2 |
| Feb 11 | Mirassol v Cruzeiro | 2-2 |
| Feb 08 | Mirassol v Capivar… | 1-0 |
| Feb 04 | Mirassol v Remo | 2-2 |
| Feb 02 | Mirassol v Novoriz… | 1-1 |
| Jan 29 | Mirassol v Vasco D… | 2-1 |
RB Bragantino
4.0%
| Mar 21 | RB Brag… v Botafogo | 1-2 |
| Mar 18 | RB Brag… v Bahia | 2-0 |
| Mar 15 | RB Brag… v São Pau… | 1-2 |
| Mar 13 | RB Brag… v Remo | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | RB Brag… v Athleti… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | RB Brag… v São Pau… | 1-2 |
| Feb 15 | RB Brag… v Novoriz… | 3-0 |
| Feb 15 | RB Brag… v Tuna Lu… | 2-0 |
| Feb 12 | RB Brag… v São Rai… | 1-1 |
| Feb 12 | RB Brag… v Corinth… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Jan 21, 2026 | Mirassol | 0-0 | RB Bragantino |
| Oct 01, 2025 | Mirassol | 1-1 | RB Bragantino |
| May 05, 2025 | RB Bragantino | 1-0 | Mirassol |
| Feb 20, 2025 | RB Bragantino | 3-0 | Mirassol |
| Feb 11, 2023 | RB Bragantino | 0-0 | Mirassol |
| Jan 27, 2022 | Mirassol | 3-1 | RB Bragantino |
| Mar 18, 2021 | Mirassol | 2-3 | RB Bragantino |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
42%
Market
50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Mirassol struggling (4L in last 5)
RB Bragantino struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.