Serie A · Apr 04, 2026 23:30
Corinthians
PWR 35
Fluminense
PWR 35
Corinthians
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Fluminense
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (17%)1-0 (15%)3-0 (14%)2-1 (7%)0-0 (6%)1-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS
No
No 31%
Over 3.5
8%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Corinthians
DLDWW
STABLE
Fluminense
LDWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.36
Corinthiansvs
0.42
FluminenseGoal Probability
Corinthians
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Fluminense
0
66%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (20%)1-0 (20%)0-1 (13%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 48% | 53% | - |
| 2.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Corinthians-7
Gap#4
Fluminense
WR 25% 10 pts
WR 25% 16 pts
Corinthians
12.0%
| Mar 22 | Corinth… v Flamengo | 1-1 |
| Mar 22 | Corinth… v Athleti… | 2-0 |
| Mar 20 | Corinth… v Chapeco… | 0-0 |
| Mar 18 | Corinth… v Mirassol | 0-1 |
| Mar 15 | Corinth… v Remo | 1-0 |
| Mar 15 | Corinth… v Santos | 1-1 |
| Mar 14 | Corinth… v Naciona… | 2-0 |
| Mar 12 | Corinth… v Corinth… | 0-2 |
| Mar 07 | Corinth… v Amazonas | 1-1 |
| Mar 04 | Corinth… v Princes… | 2-0 |
Fluminense
10.0%
| Mar 29 | Flumine… v Confian… | 2-0 |
| Mar 25 | Flumine… v Figueir… | 1-1 |
| Mar 21 | Flumine… v Atletic… | 1-0 |
| Mar 19 | Flumine… v Vasco D… | 3-2 |
| Mar 15 | Flumine… v Athleti… | 3-2 |
| Mar 14 | Flumine… v Piauà | 3-1 |
| Mar 12 | Flumine… v Remo | 0-2 |
| Mar 11 | Flumine… v Goiás | 3-0 |
| Mar 08 | Flumine… v Flamengo | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | Flumine… v Sousa | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Sep 14, 2025 | Fluminense | 0-1 | Corinthians |
| Jun 10, 2025 | Corinthians | 3-3 | Fluminense |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Corinthians | 0-2 | Fluminense |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Fluminense | 0-0 | Corinthians |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Corinthians | 3-0 | Fluminense |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Fluminense | 2-1 | Corinthians |
| Oct 20, 2023 | Fluminense | 3-3 | Corinthians |
| May 28, 2023 | Corinthians | 2-0 | Fluminense |
| Oct 27, 2022 | Corinthians | 0-2 | Fluminense |
| Sep 15, 2022 | Corinthians | 3-0 | Fluminense |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
93%
Standings
36%
Market
50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.