Serie A · Apr 05, 2026 20:30
Flamengo
PWR 35
Santos
PWR 35
Flamengo
PWR 35
4-1
predicted
Santos
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Flamengo Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-2 (7%)2-2 (7%)1-3 (6%)2-3 (6%)1-1 (5%)2-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
77%
77%
Under 2.5
23%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 79%
Over 3.5
43%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Flamengo
DWWWD
STABLE
Santos
WWDDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 33% at home = very high riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 50% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 83% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (32.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
Flamengovs
2.76
SantosGoal Probability
Flamengo
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Santos
0
6%
1
18%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (10%)1-1 (9%)0-2 (8%)0-1 (8%)1-3 (7%)0-3 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 85% | 16% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 65% | 35% | - |
| 3.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 4.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Flamengo+11
Gap#16
Santos
WR 67% 14 pts
WR 0% 7 pts
Flamengo
16.0%
| Mar 22 | Flamengo v Corinth… | 1-1 |
| Mar 19 | Flamengo v Remo | 3-0 |
| Mar 14 | Flamengo v Botafogo | 0-3 |
| Mar 12 | Flamengo v Cruzeiro | 2-0 |
| Mar 08 | Flamengo v Flumine… | 0-0 |
| Mar 03 | Flamengo v Madurei… | 0-8 |
| Feb 27 | Flamengo v Lanús | 2-3 |
| Feb 22 | Flamengo v Madurei… | 3-0 |
| Feb 20 | Flamengo v Lanús | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | Flamengo v Botafogo | 1-2 |
Santos
12.0%
| Mar 28 | Santos v São Jos… | 0-4 |
| Mar 24 | Santos v Oratório | 1-2 |
| Mar 22 | Santos v Cruzeiro | 0-0 |
| Mar 21 | Santos v Oratório | 1-1 |
| Mar 19 | Santos v Interna… | 1-2 |
| Mar 15 | Santos v Macapá | 5-0 |
| Mar 15 | Santos v Corinth… | 1-1 |
| Mar 11 | Santos v Mirassol | 2-2 |
| Mar 08 | Santos v Remo | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Santos v Athleti… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Nov 09, 2025 | Flamengo | 3-2 | Santos |
| Jul 16, 2025 | Santos | 1-0 | Flamengo |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
37%
Standings
87%
Market
50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Flamengo in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.