Serie A · Apr 05, 2026 00:00
Vasco DA Gama
PWR 35
Botafogo
PWR 35
Vasco DA Gama
PWR 35
3-1
predicted
Botafogo
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Vasco DA Gama Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (11%)3-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)3-1 (8%)1-0 (8%)1-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
63%
63%
Under 2.5
37%
BTTS
Yes 52%
Over 3.5
61%
61%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Vasco DA Gama
WWDWD
STABLE
Botafogo
DLWWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
POSITION_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (25.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.75
Vasco DA Gamavs
0.80
BotafogoGoal Probability
Vasco DA Ga…
0
6%
1
18%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
Botafogo
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)3-1 (7%)1-1 (6%)3-2 (6%)1-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 61% | 39% | - |
| 4.5 | 41% | 59% | - |
| 5.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 14% | 87% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Vasco DA Ga…+8
Gap#17
Botafogo
WR 60% 11 pts
WR 20% 6 pts
Vasco DA Gama
16.0%
| Mar 22 | Vasco D… v Remo | 2-1 |
| Mar 19 | Vasco D… v Flumine… | 3-2 |
| Mar 15 | Vasco D… v Cruzeiro | 3-3 |
| Mar 12 | Vasco D… v Palmeir… | 2-1 |
| Mar 05 | Vasco D… v São Fra… | 2-2 |
| Mar 01 | Vasco D… v Flumine… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Vasco D… v Galvez | 5-2 |
| Feb 26 | Vasco D… v Santos | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Vasco D… v Flumine… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Vasco D… v Volta R… | 1-1 |
Botafogo
12.0%
| Mar 29 | Botafogo v ASA | 2-2 |
| Mar 29 | Botafogo v Athleti… | 4-1 |
| Mar 25 | Botafogo v Vitoria | 1-2 |
| Mar 21 | Botafogo v Fortale… | 4-0 |
| Mar 21 | Botafogo v Sousa | 0-0 |
| Mar 21 | Botafogo v RB Brag… | 1-2 |
| Mar 18 | Botafogo v Palmeir… | 2-1 |
| Mar 15 | Botafogo v Sousa | 1-2 |
| Mar 14 | Botafogo v Flamengo | 0-3 |
| Mar 11 | Botafogo v Barcelo… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 08, 2026 | Vasco DA Gama | 2-0 | Botafogo |
| Nov 05, 2025 | Botafogo | 3-0 | Vasco DA Gama |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Botafogo | 1-1 | Vasco DA Gama |
| Aug 28, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama | 1-1 | Botafogo |
| Jul 12, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama | 0-2 | Botafogo |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama | 1-0 | Botafogo |
| Nov 06, 2024 | Botafogo | 3-0 | Vasco DA Gama |
| Jun 29, 2024 | Vasco DA Gama | 1-1 | Botafogo |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Botafogo | 2-4 | Vasco DA Gama |
| Nov 06, 2023 | Vasco DA Gama | 1-0 | Botafogo |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
93%
Standings
76%
Market
50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Vasco DA Gama in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.