Serie A · Apr 04, 2026 21:30
São Paulo FC
PWR 35
Cruzeiro
PWR 35
São Paulo FC
PWR 35
3-1
predicted
Cruzeiro
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
São Paulo FC Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
68%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (18%)1-0 (15%)3-0 (15%)2-1 (6%)0-0 (6%)1-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS
No
No 27%
Over 3.5
13%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
São Paulo FC
LLWWL
DOWN
Cruzeiro
DLDLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy73%
FORM_MOMENTUMPOSITION_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (25.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.42
São Paulo FCvs
0.35
CruzeiroGoal Probability
São Paulo FC
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Cruzeiro
0
71%
1
25%
2
4%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (19%)0-0 (15%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (12%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 2.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 13% | 88% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
São Paulo FC+17
Gap#20
Cruzeiro
WR 75% 16 pts
WR 0% 4 pts
São Paulo FC
8.0%
| Mar 22 | São Pau… v Palmeir… | 0-1 |
| Mar 18 | São Pau… v Atletic… | 1-0 |
| Mar 15 | São Pau… v RB Brag… | 1-2 |
| Mar 12 | São Pau… v Chapeco… | 2-0 |
| Mar 01 | São Pau… v Palmeir… | 2-1 |
| Feb 25 | São Pau… v Corinth… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | São Pau… v RB Brag… | 1-2 |
| Feb 15 | São Pau… v Ponte P… | 1-2 |
| Feb 12 | São Pau… v Remo | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | São Pau… v Primave… | 2-1 |
Cruzeiro
8.0%
| Mar 22 | Cruzeiro v Santos | 0-0 |
| Mar 18 | Cruzeiro v Athleti… | 2-1 |
| Mar 15 | Cruzeiro v Vasco D… | 3-3 |
| Mar 12 | Cruzeiro v Flamengo | 2-0 |
| Mar 08 | Cruzeiro v Atletic… | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Cruzeiro v Pouso A… | 1-0 |
| Feb 25 | Cruzeiro v Corinth… | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | Cruzeiro v Platense | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Cruzeiro v Pouso A… | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | Cruzeiro v Uniao T… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Aug 31, 2025 | Cruzeiro | 1-0 | São Paulo FC |
| Apr 13, 2025 | São Paulo FC | 1-1 | Cruzeiro |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
95%
Market
50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
São Paulo FC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.