Serie A · Apr 05, 2026 19:00
Chapecoense
PWR 35
Vitoria
PWR 35
Chapecoense
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Vitoria
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Chapecoense Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (19%)2-0 (14%)0-0 (13%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (8%)3-0 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
34%
Under 2.5
66%
66%
BTTS
No
No 33%
Over 3.5
29%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Chapecoense
LWLDD
STABLE
Vitoria
WLWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 75% at home = very high riskPoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 108% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (30.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Chapecoensevs
0.56
VitoriaGoal Probability
Chapecoense
0
22%
1
34%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Vitoria
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (12%)0-2 (11%)1-1 (11%)1-2 (10%)0-3 (7%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 3.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#15
Chapecoense-5
Gap#10
Vitoria
WR 25% 7 pts
WR 0% 10 pts
Chapecoense
8.0%
| Mar 28 | Chapeco… v Volta R… | 1-0 |
| Mar 26 | Chapeco… v São Ber… | 2-1 |
| Mar 22 | Chapeco… v Interna… | 2-0 |
| Mar 20 | Chapeco… v Corinth… | 0-0 |
| Mar 16 | Chapeco… v Remo | 1-1 |
| Mar 12 | Chapeco… v São Pau… | 2-0 |
| Mar 08 | Chapeco… v Barra | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Chapeco… v Barra | 3-1 |
| Feb 22 | Chapeco… v Brusque | 3-0 |
| Feb 14 | Chapeco… v Brusque | 1-0 |
Vitoria
8.0%
| Mar 28 | Vitoria v CRB | 2-4 |
| Mar 25 | Vitoria v Botafogo | 1-2 |
| Mar 22 | Vitoria v Mirassol | 1-0 |
| Mar 19 | Vitoria v Remo | 2-0 |
| Mar 14 | Vitoria v Porto V… | 1-5 |
| Mar 14 | Vitoria v Atletic… | 2-0 |
| Mar 11 | Vitoria v Bahia | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Vitoria v Porto V… | 0-4 |
| Mar 07 | Vitoria v Bahia | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Vitoria v Fortale… | 4-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 25, 2023 | Chapecoense | 3-1 | Vitoria |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
79%
Standings
40%
Market
50%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Vitoria struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.