Serie A · Apr 05, 2026 22:30
Bahia
PWR 35
Palmeiras
PWR 35
Bahia
PWR 35
0-1
predicted
Palmeiras
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Palmeiras to win (55% confidence)
Score
0-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (13%)1-0 (11%)3-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS
No 47%
Over 3.5
43%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Bahia
LWWDW
STABLE
Palmeiras
WWWLW
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team draws 67% at home = very high riskCombined DR 92% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.36
Bahiavs
0.74
PalmeirasGoal Probability
Bahia
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Palmeiras
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-2 (7%)2-2 (7%)1-0 (7%)2-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 65% | 36% | - |
| 3.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 4.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Bahia-5
Gap#1
Palmeiras
WR 33% 14 pts
WR 50% 19 pts
Bahia
14.0%
| Mar 22 | Bahia v Remo | 4-1 |
| Mar 18 | Bahia v RB Brag… | 2-0 |
| Mar 15 | Bahia v Interna… | 0-1 |
| Mar 11 | Bahia v Vitoria | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Bahia v Vitoria | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Bahia v Figueir… | 4-2 |
| Feb 25 | Bahia v O'Higgi… | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Bahia v Atlétic… | 2-4 |
| Feb 18 | Bahia v O'Higgi… | 1-0 |
| Feb 12 | Bahia v Vasco D… | 0-1 |
Palmeiras
16.0%
| Mar 22 | Palmeir… v São Pau… | 0-1 |
| Mar 18 | Palmeir… v Botafogo | 2-1 |
| Mar 15 | Palmeir… v Mirassol | 1-0 |
| Mar 12 | Palmeir… v Vasco D… | 2-1 |
| Mar 08 | Palmeir… v Novoriz… | 1-2 |
| Mar 07 | Palmeir… v Bela Vi… | 2-5 |
| Mar 04 | Palmeir… v Novoriz… | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Palmeir… v São Pau… | 2-1 |
| Feb 26 | Palmeir… v Flumine… | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Palmeir… v Capivar… | 4-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Aug 26, 2025 | Palmeiras | 5-1 | Bahia |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
88%
Standings
40%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Bahia in strong form (3W in last 5)
Palmeiras in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.