Serie A · Apr 05, 2026 20:30
Atletico-MG
PWR 35
Athletico Paranaense
PWR 35
Atletico-MG
PWR 35
2-2
predicted
Athletico Paranaense
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Athletico Paranaense Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (14%)3-0 (13%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)1-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS
No 40%
Over 3.5
25%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Atletico-MG
LWLWL
STABLE
Athletico Para…
LWWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_POSITION_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 50% at home = very high riskCombined DR 83% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (28.1%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
2.82
Atletico-MGvs
0.56
Athletico Para…Goal Probability
Atletico-MG
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
Athletico P…
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (10%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (8%)0-0 (8%)1-2 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 72% | 28% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 3.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#13
Atletico-MG-11
Gap#2
Athletico P…
WR 50% 8 pts
WR 33% 16 pts
Atletico-MG
8.0%
| Mar 21 | Atletic… v Flumine… | 1-0 |
| Mar 18 | Atletic… v São Pau… | 1-0 |
| Mar 14 | Atletic… v Vitoria | 2-0 |
| Mar 11 | Atletic… v Interna… | 1-0 |
| Mar 08 | Atletic… v Cruzeiro | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Atletic… v América… | 0-0 |
| Feb 26 | Atletic… v Remo | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Atletic… v América… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Atletic… v Itabiri… | 2-7 |
| Feb 11 | Atletic… v Remo | 3-3 |
Athletico Para…
12.0%
| Mar 29 | Athleti… v Porto V… | 3-2 |
| Mar 29 | Athleti… v Botafogo | 4-1 |
| Mar 26 | Athleti… v Anápolis | 1-0 |
| Mar 22 | Athleti… v Corinth… | 2-0 |
| Mar 21 | Athleti… v Operári… | 1-0 |
| Mar 21 | Athleti… v Piauí | 0-0 |
| Mar 18 | Athleti… v Cruzeiro | 2-1 |
| Mar 15 | Athleti… v Goiás | 0-0 |
| Mar 15 | Athleti… v Flumine… | 3-2 |
| Mar 07 | Athleti… v Santos | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Dec 08, 2024 | Atletico-MG | 1-0 | Athletico Par… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
30%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Athletico Paranaense in strong form (3W in last 5)
Atletico-MG struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.