Erovnuli Liga 2 · Apr 07, 2026 12:00

Samtredia
PWR 35

Gareji
PWR 35

Samtredia
PWR 35
1-1
predicted

Gareji
PWR 35
27%
29%
44%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (14%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)0-0 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS
No 44%
Over 3.5
34%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Samtredia
DLDLL
STABLE
Gareji
DWWDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): I liga
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Samtrediavs
0.74
GarejiGoal Probability
Samtredia
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Gareji
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)2-0 (10%)3-1 (6%)3-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 3.5 | 34% | 67% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Samtredia-7
Gap#2
Gareji
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 0% 7 pts
Samtredia
4.0%
| Mar 22 | Samtred… v Odishi … | 0-0 |
| Mar 15 | Samtred… v Shturmi | 3-2 |
| Mar 11 | Samtred… v Gori | 2-2 |
| Mar 07 | Samtred… v Aragvi … | 2-1 |
| Dec 06 | Samtred… v Merani … | 1-2 |
| Nov 29 | Samtred… v Meshakh… | 1-0 |
| Nov 25 | Samtred… v Gonio | 3-2 |
| Nov 21 | Samtred… v Dinamo … | 1-2 |
| Nov 08 | Samtred… v Paris FC | 1-1 |
| Nov 03 | Samtred… v Lokomot… | 1-0 |
Gareji
16.0%
| Mar 22 | Gareji v Merani … | 0-0 |
| Mar 15 | Gareji v Kolkhet… | 2-1 |
| Mar 11 | Gareji v Aragvi … | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Gareji v Telavi | 0-0 |
| Dec 14 | Gareji v Spaeri | 1-2 |
| Dec 10 | Gareji v Spaeri | 0-2 |
| Dec 06 | Gareji v Torpedo… | 2-1 |
| Nov 30 | Gareji v Saburta… | 0-4 |
| Nov 25 | Gareji v Gagra | 4-1 |
| Nov 21 | Gareji v Telavi | 3-3 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
81%
Standings
36%
Market
50%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Gareji in strong form (3W in last 5)
Samtredia struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.