League One · Apr 06, 2026 14:00
Burnley
PWR 25
Plymouth
PWR 33
Burnley
PWR 25
1-1
predicted
Plymouth
PWR 33
31%
28%
41%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (27%)1-0 (18%)0-1 (17%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (6%)0-2 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
15%
Under 2.5
85%
85%
BTTS
No
No 23%
Over 3.5
24%
Team Comparison
31Attack37
41Defense57
Goals/G
1.01.2
Conc/G
2.01.4
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Burnley
LWLLW
STABLE
Plymouth
WWDWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): League One
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
Burnleyvs
0.63
PlymouthGoal Probability
Burnley
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Plymouth
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (14%)0-2 (11%)1-1 (11%)1-2 (10%)0-0 (8%)1-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 3.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Burnley+4
Gap#14
Plymouth
WR 35% 147 pts
WR 43% 119 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 113 | 39 | 30 | 44 | 172 | 186 | 147 |
| Plymouth | 81 | 35 | 14 | 32 | 110 | 109 | 119 |
Burnley
8.0%
| Mar 28 | Burnley v Barrow | 2-1 |
| Mar 21 | Burnley v Manches… | 1-0 |
| Mar 21 | Burnley v Doncast… | 0-1 |
| Mar 21 | Burnley v Fulham | 3-1 |
| Mar 17 | Burnley v Newport… | 0-1 |
| Mar 17 | Burnley v Wigan | 1-1 |
| Mar 14 | Burnley v Bournem… | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Burnley v Mansfie… | 2-2 |
| Mar 14 | Burnley v Bristol… | 1-0 |
| Mar 10 | Burnley v Cardiff | 1-1 |
Plymouth
18.0%
| Mar 21 | Plymouth v Hudders… | 3-1 |
| Mar 17 | Plymouth v Stevena… | 1-0 |
| Mar 14 | Plymouth v Reading… | 2-2 |
| Mar 10 | Plymouth v Wigan | 0-3 |
| Mar 07 | Plymouth v Doncast… | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Plymouth v Rotherh… | 1-0 |
| Feb 24 | Plymouth v Bolton | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Plymouth v Cardiff | 5-2 |
| Feb 17 | Plymouth v Leyton … | 1-3 |
| Feb 14 | Plymouth v Blackpo… | 0-4 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Aug 02, 2025 | Plymouth | 1-3 | Burnley |
| Jan 22, 2025 | Plymouth | 0-5 | Burnley |
| Oct 01, 2024 | Burnley | 1-0 | Plymouth |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Plymouth in strong form (4W in last 5)
Burnley struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.