Division Profesional - Apertura · Apr 05, 2026 21:30
Sportivo Ameliano
PWR 43
Sportivo Luqueño
PWR 40
Sportivo Ameliano
PWR 43
1-0
predicted
Sportivo Luqueño
PWR 40
65%
21%
14%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Sportivo Ameliano to win (76% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
76%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (25%)2-0 (18%)0-0 (17%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)2-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
25%
Under 2.5
75%
75%
BTTS
No
No 20%
Over 3.5
15%
Team Comparison
35Attack28
62Defense58
Goals/G
1.00.8
Conc/G
1.11.2
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Sportivo Ameli…
WWWDD
UP
Sportivo Luque…
LLLLD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Apertura
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Sportivo Ameli…vs
0.31
Sportivo Luque…Goal Probability
Sportivo Am…
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Sportivo Lu…
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (21%)2-0 (18%)0-0 (13%)3-0 (10%)1-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 61% | 39% | - |
| 2.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Sportivo Am…+1
Gap#7
Sportivo Lu…
WR 32% 58 pts
WR 31% 56 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Amel… | 44 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 44 | 48 | 58 |
| Sportivo Luqu… | 48 | 15 | 11 | 22 | 39 | 57 | 56 |
Sportivo Ameli…
16.0%
| Mar 31 | Sportiv… v Club Sp… | 0-2 |
| Mar 27 | Sportiv… v Liberta… | 2-0 |
| Mar 23 | Sportiv… v Rubio Ñu | 1-2 |
| Mar 19 | Sportiv… v Sportiv… | 1-1 |
| Mar 15 | Sportiv… v Club Gu… | 0-0 |
| Mar 09 | Sportiv… v Deporti… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Sportiv… v Olimpia | 0-1 |
| Feb 25 | Sportiv… v Cerro P… | 0-1 |
| Feb 19 | Sportiv… v Naciona… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Sportiv… v 2 de Ma… | 3-0 |
Sportivo Luque…
2.0%
| Mar 31 | Sportiv… v Cerro P… | 0-2 |
| Mar 27 | Sportiv… v Naciona… | 3-2 |
| Mar 22 | Sportiv… v 2 de Ma… | 0-2 |
| Mar 17 | Sportiv… v Olimpia | 1-0 |
| Mar 13 | Sportiv… v Club Sp… | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Sportiv… v Liberta… | 1-0 |
| Mar 02 | Sportiv… v Rubio Ñu | 0-1 |
| Feb 25 | Sportiv… v Sportiv… | 1-1 |
| Feb 23 | Sportiv… v Club Gu… | 3-2 |
| Feb 13 | Sportiv… v Deporti… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 06, 2026 | Sportivo Luqu… | 0-1 | Sportivo Amel… |
| Nov 02, 2025 | Sportivo Luqu… | 0-1 | Sportivo Amel… |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Sportivo Amel… | 0-1 | Sportivo Luqu… |
| Jun 02, 2025 | Sportivo Luqu… | 0-0 | Sportivo Amel… |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Sportivo Amel… | 2-2 | Sportivo Luqu… |
| Mar 05, 2025 | Sportivo Luqu… | 2-0 | Sportivo Amel… |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Sportivo Luqu… | 0-2 | Sportivo Amel… |
| Sep 02, 2024 | Sportivo Amel… | 3-1 | Sportivo Luqu… |
| May 11, 2024 | Sportivo Luqu… | 0-0 | Sportivo Amel… |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Sportivo Amel… | 1-3 | Sportivo Luqu… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
82%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Sportivo Ameliano in strong form (3W in last 5)
Sportivo Luqueño struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.