First League · Mar 31, 2026 13:00
Ararat-Armenia II
PWR 35
Shirak II
PWR 35
Ararat-Armenia II
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT
Shirak II
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Ararat-Armenia II to win (75% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
75%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (6%)3-2 (4%)2-1 (4%)3-0 (4%)2-2 (3%)2-0 (2%)
WRONG 1-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.48x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.07x
Over 2.5
64%
64%
Under 2.5
36%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 78%
Over 3.5
64%
64%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Ararat-Armenia…
LWWLL
STABLE
Shirak II
LLLLW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Ararat-Armenia…vs
1.55
Shirak IIGoal Probability
Ararat-Arme…
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Shirak II
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4
5%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)2-2 (6%)3-2 (6%)1-1 (6%)4-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 64% | 37% | - |
| 4.5 | 44% | 56% | - |
| 5.5 | 28% | 73% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
League Position
#13
Ararat-Arme…+3
Gap#16
Shirak II
WR 27% 17 pts
WR 18% 13 pts
Ararat-Armenia…
8.0%
| Mar 23 | Ararat-… v Banants… | 3-1 |
| Mar 17 | Ararat-… v Van II | 5-1 |
| Mar 13 | Ararat-… v Bentoni… | 0-2 |
| Mar 08 | Ararat-… v Syunik | 2-5 |
| Nov 26 | Ararat-… v Andranik | 3-0 |
| Nov 19 | Ararat-… v Mika | 2-0 |
| Nov 15 | Ararat-… v BKMA II | 1-0 |
| Nov 09 | Ararat-… v Hayq | 3-1 |
| Nov 04 | Ararat-… v Araks A… | 0-2 |
| Oct 28 | Ararat-… v Banants… | 2-2 |
Shirak II
4.0%
| Mar 24 | Shirak … v Hayq | 0-1 |
| Mar 17 | Shirak … v Araks A… | 2-1 |
| Mar 02 | Shirak … v Sardara… | 5-0 |
| Nov 26 | Shirak … v Pyunik … | 0-1 |
| Nov 19 | Shirak … v Lernayi… | 1-2 |
| Nov 10 | Shirak … v BKMA II | 8-0 |
| Nov 04 | Shirak … v Noah II | 2-4 |
| Oct 21 | Shirak … v Mika | 2-3 |
| Oct 16 | Shirak … v Banants… | 3-3 |
| Oct 11 | Shirak … v Van II | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Sep 11, 2025 | Shirak II | 1-1 | Ararat-Armeni… |
| May 05, 2025 | Ararat-Armeni… | 0-2 | Shirak II |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Shirak II | 2-1 | Ararat-Armeni… |
| Nov 29, 2023 | Shirak II | 1-0 | Ararat-Armeni… |
| Aug 01, 2023 | Ararat-Armeni… | 2-0 | Shirak II |
| May 28, 2023 | Shirak II | 1-1 | Ararat-Armeni… |
| Mar 30, 2023 | Ararat-Armeni… | 1-0 | Shirak II |
| Oct 10, 2022 | Shirak II | 1-0 | Ararat-Armeni… |
| May 04, 2021 | Ararat-Armeni… | 2-1 | Shirak II |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
57%
Market
49%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Ararat-Armenia II struggling (3L in last 5)
Shirak II struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.