Virsliga · Apr 07, 2026 15:00
BFC Daugavpils
PWR 35
BFC Daugavpils
PWR 35
VS
Ogre United
PWR 35
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Ogre United Win
Score
?
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (32%)1-0 (25%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (10%)1-1 (9%)2-1 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
11%
Under 2.5
89%
89%
BTTS
No
No 16%
Over 3.5
18%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
BFC Daugavpils
LLLLL
DOWN
Ogre United
LDLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
HOME_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.8%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
BFC Daugavpilsvs
0.35
Ogre UnitedGoal Probability
BFC Daugavp…
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Ogre United
0
71%
1
25%
2
4%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (15%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (11%)0-2 (11%)1-0 (9%)1-2 (9%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 65% | 35% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 3.5 | 19% | 82% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 8% | 93% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
BFC Daugavp…-1
Gap#9
Ogre United
WR 0% 0 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
BFC Daugavpils
0.0%
| Mar 21 | BFC Dau… v Rīgas FS | 4-1 |
| Mar 14 | BFC Dau… v Riga FC | 4-2 |
| Mar 07 | BFC Dau… v Grobiņa | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | BFC Dau… v Rīgas FS | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | BFC Dau… v Sūduva … | 5-3 |
| Feb 07 | BFC Dau… v Šiauliai | 1-0 |
| Feb 03 | BFC Dau… v Hegelma… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | BFC Dau… v FC Tall… | 4-0 |
| Nov 09 | BFC Dau… v Metta /… | 3-1 |
| Nov 02 | BFC Dau… v FK Liep… | 1-2 |
Ogre United
2.0%
| Mar 20 | Ogre Un… v FK Liep… | 0-1 |
| Mar 15 | Ogre Un… v Tukums | 1-1 |
| Mar 06 | Ogre Un… v Rīgas FS | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Ogre Un… v FK Zalg… | 2-1 |
| Feb 07 | Ogre Un… v FC Tall… | 1-0 |
| Nov 08 | Ogre Un… v Mārupe | 0-1 |
| Nov 01 | Ogre Un… v Skanste | 3-0 |
| Oct 25 | Ogre Un… v Riga FC… | 2-1 |
| Oct 18 | Ogre Un… v JDFS Al… | 1-1 |
| Oct 04 | Ogre Un… v Rīgas F… | 0-0 |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
65%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
BFC Daugavpils struggling (5L in last 5)
Ogre United struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.