Azerbaijan Premier League · Apr 04, 2026 13:00
Kəpəz
PWR 35
Qabala
PWR 35
Kəpəz
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Qabala
PWR 35
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Kəpəz Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (16%)2-0 (15%)3-0 (10%)1-1 (9%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
BTTS
No 37%
Over 3.5
17%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Kəpəz
WDDLW
STABLE
Qabala
LLLDD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (32.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.99
Kəpəzvs
0.56
QabalaGoal Probability
Kəpəz
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Qabala
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (18%)2-0 (14%)0-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (8%)3-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 2.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 3.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 7% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Kəpəz+1
Gap#11
Qabala
WR 20% 17 pts
WR 8% 16 pts
Kəpəz
12.0%
| Mar 20 | Kəpəz v Qarabağ… | 1-0 |
| Mar 15 | Kəpəz v Turan T… | 1-1 |
| Mar 09 | Kəpəz v Zira | 2-2 |
| Mar 05 | Kəpəz v Turan T… | 0-2 |
| Feb 27 | Kəpəz v Sumqayıt | 3-0 |
| Feb 22 | Kəpəz v Sabah FA | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | Kəpəz v Neftchi… | 1-3 |
| Feb 09 | Kəpəz v Mil-Muğ… | 0-0 |
| Feb 05 | Kəpəz v Turan T… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Kəpəz v Şamaxı | 0-2 |
Qabala
4.0%
| Mar 21 | Qabala v Turan T… | 3-2 |
| Mar 15 | Qabala v Neftchi… | 1-3 |
| Mar 10 | Qabala v Sabah FA | 7-1 |
| Mar 05 | Qabala v Sabah FA | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | Qabala v Karvan | 1-1 |
| Feb 24 | Qabala v Turan T… | 0-3 |
| Feb 20 | Qabala v Sumqayıt | 0-0 |
| Feb 16 | Qabala v Sabah FA | 0-1 |
| Feb 10 | Qabala v Neftchi… | 1-0 |
| Feb 04 | Qabala v Sabah FA | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 14, 2025 | Kəpəz | 1-0 | Qabala |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Qabala | 3-0 | Kəpəz |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Qabala | 0-1 | Kəpəz |
| Feb 23, 2024 | Kəpəz | 2-1 | Qabala |
| Dec 09, 2023 | Qabala | 0-3 | Kəpəz |
| Oct 01, 2023 | Kəpəz | 0-1 | Qabala |
| May 27, 2023 | Qabala | 1-1 | Kəpəz |
| Jan 24, 2023 | Kəpəz | 2-2 | Qabala |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Qabala | 1-1 | Kəpəz |
| Aug 21, 2022 | Kəpəz | 0-3 | Qabala |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
86%
Standings
55%
Market
50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Qabala struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.