Azerbaijan Premier League · Apr 04, 2026 13:00
Turan Tovuz
PWR 35
Mil-Muğan
PWR 35
PWR 35
1-2
predicted
Turan Tovuz
PWR 35
29%
28%
43%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Turan Tovuz Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
55%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (24%)0-2 (19%)0-0 (15%)0-3 (10%)1-1 (7%)1-2 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
28%
Under 2.5
72%
72%
BTTS
No
No 21%
Over 3.5
15%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Mil-Muğan
LLDDD
DOWN
Turan Tovuz
WDWWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy73%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_STREAKAWAY_POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 58% at home = very high riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 83% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (29.8%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Mil-Muğanvs
1.57
Turan TovuzGoal Probability
Mil-Muğan
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Turan Tovuz
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4
5%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (22%)0-2 (18%)0-0 (13%)0-3 (10%)1-1 (8%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 2.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Mil-Muğan-6
Gap#3
Turan Tovuz
WR 0% 22 pts
WR 58% 44 pts
Mil-Muğan
6.0%
| Mar 20 | Mil-Muğ… v Neftchi… | 6-0 |
| Mar 14 | Mil-Muğ… v Sabah FA | 0-5 |
| Mar 08 | Mil-Muğ… v Şamaxı | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Mil-Muğ… v Turan T… | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Mil-Muğ… v Şamaxı | 0-0 |
| Feb 14 | Mil-Muğ… v Qarabağ… | 0-1 |
| Feb 09 | Mil-Muğ… v Kəpəz | 0-0 |
| Jan 30 | Mil-Muğ… v Qabala | 3-2 |
| Jan 23 | Mil-Muğ… v Araz | 2-2 |
| Dec 20 | Mil-Muğ… v Zira | 0-0 |
Turan Tovuz
16.0%
| Mar 21 | Turan T… v Qabala | 3-2 |
| Mar 15 | Turan T… v Kəpəz | 1-1 |
| Mar 09 | Turan T… v Neftchi… | 0-1 |
| Mar 05 | Turan T… v Kəpəz | 0-2 |
| Mar 01 | Turan T… v Mil-Muğ… | 0-0 |
| Feb 24 | Turan T… v Qabala | 0-3 |
| Feb 20 | Turan T… v Zira | 2-0 |
| Feb 16 | Turan T… v Şamaxı | 0-0 |
| Feb 09 | Turan T… v Karvan | 1-0 |
| Feb 05 | Turan T… v Kəpəz | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Mar 01, 2026 | Turan Tovuz | 0-0 | Mil-Muğan |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Mil-Muğan | 0-1 | Turan Tovuz |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
38%
Market
50%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Turan Tovuz in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.