Ligue 1 · Apr 04, 2026 16:00
Etoile Filante
PWR 35
Douanes
PWR 35
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Etoile Filante
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Douanes Win
Score
1-0
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (24%)1-0 (23%)2-0 (11%)0-1 (11%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
18%
Under 2.5
82%
82%
BTTS
No
No 23%
Over 3.5
4%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Douanes
WWDDD
STABLE
Etoile Filante
LDWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
POSITION_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 73% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 109% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (32.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Douanesvs
0.47
Etoile FilanteGoal Probability
Douanes
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Etoile Fila…
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (27%)1-0 (25%)2-0 (11%)0-1 (11%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 37% | 63% | - |
| 2.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Douanes+9
Gap#14
Etoile Fila…
WR 18% 33 pts
WR 9% 22 pts
Douanes
14.0%
| Mar 22 | Douanes v ASFA-Ye… | 0-1 |
| Mar 13 | Douanes v Réal du… | 1-0 |
| Mar 10 | Douanes v Sportin… | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Douanes v ASFB | 0-0 |
| Feb 20 | Douanes v RC Bobo… | 0-0 |
| Feb 17 | Douanes v RCK | 1-3 |
| Feb 07 | Douanes v Majesti… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Douanes v USFA | 2-2 |
| Jan 27 | Douanes v Rahimo | 1-2 |
| Dec 29 | Douanes v Rahimo | 2-0 |
Etoile Filante
10.0%
| Mar 21 | Etoile … v Vitesse | 0-2 |
| Mar 15 | Etoile … v ASFA-Ye… | 2-2 |
| Mar 10 | Etoile … v RCK | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Etoile … v RC Bobo… | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Etoile … v USFA | 2-0 |
| Feb 16 | Etoile … v Rahimo | 0-0 |
| Feb 08 | Etoile … v CFFEB | 1-1 |
| Jan 30 | Etoile … v Salitas… | 0-1 |
| Jan 25 | Etoile … v SONABEL | 0-0 |
| Dec 26 | Etoile … v SONABEL | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 26, 2025 | Etoile Filante | 0-0 | Douanes |
Decision Breakdown
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
67%
Standings
66%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.