Ligue 1 · Apr 04, 2026 16:00
SONABEL
PWR 35
RCK
PWR 35
SONABEL
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
RCK
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (26%)0-0 (20%)2-0 (17%)1-1 (8%)3-0 (7%)0-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
22%
Under 2.5
78%
78%
BTTS
No
No 19%
Over 3.5
5%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
SONABEL
DLLDD
STABLE
RCK
LDLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 4% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 54% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 93% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
SONABELvs
0.31
RCKGoal Probability
SONABEL
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
RCK
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (25%)1-0 (20%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 2.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
SONABEL-1
Gap#9
RCK
WR 27% 27 pts
WR 23% 30 pts
SONABEL
6.0%
| Mar 21 | SONABEL v Majesti… | 2-2 |
| Mar 13 | SONABEL v Vitesse | 2-0 |
| Mar 09 | SONABEL v Rahimo | 1-2 |
| Mar 01 | SONABEL v USFA | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | SONABEL v Salitas… | 0-0 |
| Feb 15 | SONABEL v Sportin… | 1-1 |
| Feb 05 | SONABEL v Réal du… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | SONABEL v AJEB | 4-0 |
| Jan 25 | SONABEL v Etoile … | 0-0 |
| Dec 26 | SONABEL v Etoile … | 1-2 |
RCK
6.0%
| Mar 20 | RCK v Réal du… | 0-2 |
| Mar 14 | RCK v CFFEB | 1-1 |
| Mar 10 | RCK v Etoile … | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | RCK v AJEB | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | RCK v ASFB | 2-0 |
| Feb 17 | RCK v Douanes | 1-3 |
| Feb 07 | RCK v Vitesse | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | RCK v RC Bobo… | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | RCK v Sportin… | 0-0 |
| Dec 26 | RCK v Sportin… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 27, 2025 | RCK | 1-2 | SONABEL |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
80%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
RCK struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.