USL Championship · Mar 14, 2026 20:00
Louisville City FC
PWR 71
Miami FC
PWR 35
Louisville City FC
PWR 71
4 - 1
FT
Miami FC
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
1X (Home/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 65% home + 20% draw = 86% combined
92%
accuracy
1.23x
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Louisville City FC to win (95% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (23%)2-0 (19%)0-0 (14%)3-0 (11%)1-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)
WRONG 4-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
86%
Home/Draw
1.23x
DC X2
Away/Draw
3.01x
Over 2.5
31%
Under 2.5
69%
69%
BTTS
No
No 22%
Over 3.5
70%
70%
Team Comparison
69Attack38
71Defense39
Goals/G
2.01.1
Conc/G
0.81.8
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Louisville Citā¦
WLWWW
STABLE
Miami FC
WWLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): USL Championship
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Louisville Citā¦vs
0.31
Miami FCGoal Probability
Louisville ā¦
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Miami FC
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (7%)3-1 (7%)2-2 (6%)3-2 (6%)4-1 (5%)1-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 5.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Louisville ā¦+22
Gap#24
Miami FC
WR 74% 84 pts
WR 28% 34 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Ciā¦ | 35 | 26 | 6 | 3 | 69 | 29 | 84 |
| Miami FC | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 35 | 56 | 34 |
Louisville Citā¦
16.0%
| Mar 07 | Louisviā¦ v Lexingtā¦ | 1-2 |
| Mar 07 | Louisviā¦ v Crown Lā¦ | 7-2 |
| Mar 03 | Louisviā¦ v Orlandoā¦ | 1-3 |
| Feb 27 | Louisviā¦ v One Knoā¦ | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Louisviā¦ v FC Cincā¦ | 0-6 |
| Feb 15 | Louisviā¦ v Seattleā¦ | 3-1 |
| Feb 05 | Louisviā¦ v Coloradā¦ | 0-0 |
| Feb 03 | Louisviā¦ v New Mexā¦ | 1-4 |
| Jan 28 | Louisviā¦ v Austin | 1-0 |
| Nov 01 | Louisviā¦ v Detroitā¦ | 0-1 |
Miami FC
12.0%
| Oct 26 | Miami FC v Sacrameā¦ | 0-1 |
| Oct 19 | Miami FC v Birmingā¦ | 2-3 |
| Oct 11 | Miami FC v Louisviā¦ | 1-0 |
| Oct 04 | Miami FC v Pittsbuā¦ | 3-1 |
| Sep 26 | Miami FC v North Cā¦ | 1-0 |
| Sep 19 | Miami FC v Rhode Iā¦ | 0-1 |
| Sep 14 | Miami FC v Las Vegā¦ | 0-0 |
| Sep 06 | Miami FC v Alloa Aā¦ | 0-1 |
| Aug 30 | Miami FC v Loudounā¦ | 3-1 |
| Aug 23 | Miami FC v Indy Elā¦ | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Oct 11, 2025 | Louisville Ciā¦ | 1-0 | Miami FC |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Miami FC | 2-4 | Louisville Ciā¦ |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
85%
Standings
50%
Market
67%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Louisville City FC in strong form (4W in last 5)
Miami FC in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.