USL Championship · Apr 04, 2026 21:00
Loudoun United FC
PWR 32
Birmingham Legion
PWR 48
Loudoun United FC
PWR 32
1-1
predicted
Birmingham Legion
PWR 48
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (62% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
62%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (14%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (10%)3-0 (7%)0-0 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS
No 45%
Over 3.5
25%
Team Comparison
39Attack43
33Defense59
Goals/G
1.11.2
Conc/G
1.91.2
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Loudoun United…
LDLLW
STABLE
Birmingham Leg…
LDLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): USL Championship
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Loudoun United…vs
0.78
Birmingham Leg…Goal Probability
Loudoun Uni…
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Birmingham …
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (13%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)0-0 (8%)0-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 72% | 28% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 3.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#23
Loudoun Uni…-1
Gap#22
Birmingham …
WR 22% 36 pts
WR 40% 37 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loudoun Unite… | 41 | 9 | 9 | 23 | 46 | 79 | 36 |
| Birmingham Le… | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 29 | 37 |
Loudoun United…
6.0%
| Mar 28 | Loudoun… v Tampa B… | 3-1 |
| Mar 21 | Loudoun… v Miami FC | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Loudoun… v Pittsbu… | 2-3 |
| Feb 21 | Loudoun… v Brooklyn | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Loudoun… v Richmon… | 3-1 |
| Jan 30 | Loudoun… v Bethleh… | 2-2 |
| Nov 01 | Loudoun… v North C… | 1-0 |
| Oct 25 | Loudoun… v North C… | 0-1 |
| Oct 19 | Loudoun… v Indy El… | 2-1 |
| Oct 11 | Loudoun… v Detroit… | 0-1 |
Birmingham Leg…
2.0%
| Mar 21 | Birming… v Charles… | 3-2 |
| Mar 11 | Birming… v Hartfor… | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | Birming… v Tampa B… | 0-1 |
| Oct 25 | Birming… v Charles… | 2-1 |
| Oct 19 | Birming… v Miami FC | 2-3 |
| Oct 04 | Birming… v Loudoun… | 0-1 |
| Oct 02 | Birming… v North C… | 1-1 |
| Sep 28 | Birming… v San Ant… | 0-0 |
| Sep 17 | Birming… v Tampa B… | 1-4 |
| Aug 10 | Birming… v Hartfor… | 1-4 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 04, 2025 | Loudoun Unite… | 0-1 | Birmingham Le… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
81%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Loudoun United FC struggling (3L in last 5)
Birmingham Legion struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.