USL Championship · Apr 04, 2026 23:00
Indy Eleven
PWR 45
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
PWR 48
Indy Eleven
PWR 45
1-1
predicted
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
PWR 48
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (16%)1-0 (14%)3-0 (12%)2-1 (8%)1-1 (7%)3-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
BTTS
No 36%
Over 3.5
15%
Team Comparison
51Attack37
46Defense67
Goals/G
1.41.1
Conc/G
1.50.9
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Indy Eleven
DDWLD
STABLE
Pittsburgh Riv…
WLWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): USL Championship
Expected Goals (xG)
2.28
Indy Elevenvs
0.52
Pittsburgh Riv…Goal Probability
Indy Eleven
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
Pittsburgh …
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (15%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (13%)0-1 (12%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 2.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#13
Indy Eleven-5
Gap#8
Pittsburgh …
WR 38% 59 pts
WR 39% 72 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indy Eleven | 45 | 17 | 8 | 20 | 65 | 69 | 59 |
| Pittsburgh Ri… | 49 | 19 | 15 | 15 | 52 | 46 | 72 |
Indy Eleven
10.0%
| Mar 31 | Indy El… v Union O… | 0-0 |
| Mar 28 | Indy El… v Hartfor… | 2-2 |
| Mar 21 | Indy El… v Detroit… | 2-1 |
| Mar 08 | Indy El… v Brooklyn | 1-0 |
| Feb 27 | Indy El… v Forward… | 0-0 |
| Feb 20 | Indy El… v St. Lou… | 3-1 |
| Oct 26 | Indy El… v Orange … | 2-1 |
| Oct 19 | Indy El… v Loudoun… | 2-1 |
| Oct 11 | Indy El… v Pittsbu… | 2-1 |
| Oct 04 | Indy El… v Louisvi… | 2-0 |
Pittsburgh Riv…
8.0%
| Mar 28 | Pittsbu… v Sportin… | 3-2 |
| Mar 21 | Pittsbu… v Tampa B… | 3-0 |
| Mar 14 | Pittsbu… v Loudoun… | 2-3 |
| Mar 07 | Pittsbu… v Charles… | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Pittsbu… v Lexingt… | 1-2 |
| Nov 22 | Pittsbu… v FC Tulsa | 0-0 |
| Nov 09 | Pittsbu… v Detroit… | 0-0 |
| Nov 01 | Pittsbu… v Hartfor… | 0-0 |
| Oct 25 | Pittsbu… v Phoenix… | 0-0 |
| Oct 19 | Pittsbu… v Montere… | 0-3 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Oct 11, 2025 | Pittsburgh Ri… | 2-1 | Indy Eleven |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Indy Eleven | 1-0 | Pittsburgh Ri… |
| Feb 12, 2025 | Indy Eleven | 1-2 | Pittsburgh Ri… |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Indy Eleven | 1-1 | Pittsburgh Ri… |
| Jun 01, 2024 | Pittsburgh Ri… | 1-2 | Indy Eleven |
| Jul 26, 2023 | Pittsburgh Ri… | 1-3 | Indy Eleven |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Indy Eleven | 1-1 | Pittsburgh Ri… |
| Aug 06, 2022 | Indy Eleven | 0-2 | Pittsburgh Ri… |
| Jul 06, 2022 | Pittsburgh Ri… | 1-0 | Indy Eleven |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
90%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Pittsburgh Riverhounds struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.