USL Championship · Apr 04, 2026 23:30
Tampa Bay Rowdies
PWR 47
Sporting JAX
PWR 17
PWR 17
1-2
predicted
Tampa Bay Rowdies
PWR 47
17%
31%
52%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Tampa Bay Rowdies to win (95% confidence)
Score
1-2
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
2-2 (7%)2-1 (6%)3-2 (6%)3-1 (5%)1-2 (5%)2-3 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
79%
79%
Under 2.5
21%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 83%
Over 3.5
66%
66%
Team Comparison
44Attack54
4Defense49
Goals/G
1.31.5
Conc/G
2.81.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Sporting JAX
LLDLL
DOWN
Tampa Bay Rowd…
WWWWW
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): USL Championship
Expected Goals (xG)
2.71
Sporting JAXvs
2.17
Tampa Bay Rowd…Goal Probability
Sporting JAX
0
7%
1
18%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
Tampa Bay R…
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
11%
CORRECT SCORES
0-3 (8%)1-3 (8%)0-4 (7%)1-4 (7%)1-2 (7%)0-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 5.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
League Position
#35
Sporting JAX-24
Gap#11
Tampa Bay R…
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 36% 65 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting JAX | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 1 |
| Tampa Bay Row… | 50 | 18 | 11 | 21 | 77 | 73 | 65 |
Sporting JAX
2.0%
| Mar 28 | Sportin… v Pittsbu… | 3-2 |
| Mar 25 | Sportin… v Miami FC | 2-4 |
| Mar 14 | Sportin… v Rhode I… | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Sportin… v Hartfor… | 0-3 |
| Feb 28 | Sportin… v Tampa B… | 1-0 |
Tampa Bay Rowd…
20.0%
| Mar 28 | Tampa B… v Loudoun… | 3-1 |
| Mar 21 | Tampa B… v Pittsbu… | 3-0 |
| Mar 08 | Tampa B… v Birming… | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Tampa B… v Sportin… | 1-0 |
| Feb 18 | Tampa B… v Naples | 3-0 |
| Jan 28 | Tampa B… v St. Lou… | 2-2 |
| Oct 25 | Tampa B… v Detroit… | 1-1 |
| Oct 18 | Tampa B… v Hartfor… | 3-2 |
| Oct 11 | Tampa B… v Rhode I… | 5-0 |
| Oct 04 | Tampa B… v Montere… | 4-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Feb 28, 2026 | Tampa Bay Row… | 1-0 | Sporting JAX |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
67%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Tampa Bay Rowdies in strong form (5W in last 5)
Sporting JAX struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.