USL Championship · Apr 05, 2026 01:00
El Paso Locomotive
PWR 43
Las Vegas Lights
PWR 35
El Paso Locomotive
PWR 43
2-1
predicted
Las Vegas Lights
PWR 35
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: El Paso Locomotive to win (82% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
82%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (10%)2-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)2-1 (5%)1-0 (4%)1-1 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
62%
62%
Under 2.5
38%
BTTS
No 47%
Over 3.5
51%
Team Comparison
46Attack38
52Defense42
Goals/G
1.31.1
Conc/G
1.41.7
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
El Paso Locomo…
WWDWL
STABLE
Las Vegas Ligh…
WLLDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): USL Championship
Expected Goals (xG)
4.07
El Paso Locomo…vs
0.65
Las Vegas Ligh…Goal Probability
El Paso Loc…
0
2%
1
7%
2
14%
3
19%
4
20%
Las Vegas L…
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (10%)3-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)3-1 (8%)1-0 (7%)4-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 72% | 29% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 4.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
El Paso Loc…+9
Gap#18
Las Vegas L…
WR 30% 67 pts
WR 23% 46 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Paso Locom… | 56 | 17 | 16 | 23 | 73 | 77 | 67 |
| Las Vegas Lig… | 48 | 11 | 13 | 24 | 52 | 80 | 46 |
El Paso Locomo…
14.0%
| Mar 29 | El Paso… v Sacrame… | 1-2 |
| Mar 15 | El Paso… v Montere… | 0-3 |
| Mar 08 | El Paso… v Colorad… | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | El Paso… v New Mex… | 4-1 |
| Nov 02 | El Paso… v Phoenix… | 0-1 |
| Oct 26 | El Paso… v San Ant… | 5-2 |
| Oct 19 | El Paso… v FC UFA | 1-1 |
| Oct 11 | El Paso… v Lexingt… | 1-2 |
| Oct 05 | El Paso… v Orange … | 0-0 |
| Oct 01 | El Paso… v Oakland… | 3-1 |
Las Vegas Ligh…
6.0%
| Mar 29 | Las Veg… v Montere… | 1-0 |
| Mar 22 | Las Veg… v FC Tulsa | 3-2 |
| Mar 14 | Las Veg… v Colorad… | 3-2 |
| Mar 08 | Las Veg… v Orange … | 1-1 |
| Feb 27 | Las Veg… v York 9 … | 1-0 |
| Oct 26 | Las Veg… v Montere… | 1-1 |
| Oct 19 | Las Veg… v Colorad… | 1-0 |
| Oct 12 | Las Veg… v Oakland… | 2-2 |
| Oct 05 | Las Veg… v Rhode I… | 3-1 |
| Sep 28 | Las Veg… v Pittsbu… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Aug 03, 2025 | El Paso Locom… | 6-0 | Las Vegas Lig… |
| May 25, 2025 | Las Vegas Lig… | 1-2 | El Paso Locom… |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Key Factors
El Paso Locomotive in strong form (3W in last 5)
Las Vegas Lights struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.