USL Championship · Apr 05, 2026 02:00
Orange County SC
PWR 44
New Mexico United
PWR 49
Orange County SC
PWR 44
1-1
predicted
New Mexico United
PWR 49
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (20%)3-0 (18%)1-0 (14%)0-0 (5%)2-1 (4%)3-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
BTTS
No
No 17%
Over 3.5
19%
Team Comparison
47Attack49
51Defense54
Goals/G
1.41.4
Conc/G
1.41.3
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Orange County …
WWDDL
STABLE
New Mexico Uni…
WLLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): USL Championship
Expected Goals (xG)
2.79
Orange County …vs
0.20
New Mexico Uni…Goal Probability
Orange Coun…
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
New Mexico …
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (19%)2-0 (16%)0-0 (10%)3-0 (10%)1-1 (9%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 3.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Orange Coun…+2
Gap#6
New Mexico …
WR 31% 77 pts
WR 43% 73 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orange County… | 62 | 19 | 20 | 23 | 84 | 87 | 77 |
| New Mexico Un… | 49 | 21 | 10 | 18 | 68 | 65 | 73 |
Orange County …
12.0%
| Mar 29 | Orange … v Oakland… | 0-1 |
| Mar 22 | Orange … v Colorad… | 1-0 |
| Mar 15 | Orange … v Phoenix… | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Orange … v Las Veg… | 1-1 |
| Feb 04 | Orange … v Los Ang… | 2-0 |
| Nov 09 | Orange … v New Mex… | 2-1 |
| Nov 03 | Orange … v Sacrame… | 0-0 |
| Oct 26 | Orange … v Indy El… | 2-1 |
| Oct 19 | Orange … v Louisvi… | 0-0 |
| Oct 16 | Orange … v San Ant… | 1-0 |
New Mexico Uni…
4.0%
| Mar 28 | New Mex… v Colorad… | 3-2 |
| Mar 22 | New Mex… v San Ant… | 1-0 |
| Mar 15 | New Mex… v Oakland… | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | New Mex… v El Paso… | 4-1 |
| Feb 03 | New Mex… v Louisvi… | 1-4 |
| Nov 18 | New Mex… v Portuga… | 0-5 |
| Nov 16 | New Mex… v Uruguay | 0-0 |
| Nov 16 | New Mex… v FC Tulsa | 3-0 |
| Nov 14 | New Mex… v Argenti… | 2-2 |
| Nov 09 | New Mex… v Orange … | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Nov 09, 2025 | New Mexico Un… | 2-1 | Orange County… |
| Oct 12, 2025 | New Mexico Un… | 3-3 | Orange County… |
| May 18, 2025 | Orange County… | 0-3 | New Mexico Un… |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Orange County… | 0-0 | New Mexico Un… |
| Jul 04, 2024 | New Mexico Un… | 2-0 | Orange County… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Key Factors
New Mexico United struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.