USL Championship · Apr 05, 2026 02:00
Sacramento Republic
PWR 54
Phoenix Rising
PWR 47
Sacramento Republic
PWR 54
1-0
predicted
Phoenix Rising
PWR 47
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Sacramento Republic to win (61% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
61%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (32%)1-0 (25%)0-1 (12%)2-0 (9%)1-1 (9%)2-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
11%
Under 2.5
89%
89%
BTTS
No
No 17%
Over 3.5
6%
Team Comparison
47Attack48
71Defense56
Goals/G
1.31.4
Conc/G
0.81.3
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Sacramento Rep…
LDDWD
STABLE
Phoenix Rising
DDDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): USL Championship
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Sacramento Rep…vs
0.37
Phoenix RisingGoal Probability
Sacramento …
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Phoenix Ris…
0
69%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (24%)1-0 (19%)0-1 (15%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 2.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Sacramento …+2
Gap#5
Phoenix Ris…
WR 43% 81 pts
WR 35% 73 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento Re… | 51 | 22 | 15 | 14 | 68 | 42 | 81 |
| Phoenix Rising | 52 | 18 | 19 | 15 | 72 | 66 | 73 |
Sacramento Rep…
10.0%
| Mar 29 | Sacrame… v El Paso… | 1-2 |
| Mar 22 | Sacrame… v Montere… | 1-1 |
| Mar 14 | Sacrame… v Lexingt… | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | Sacrame… v FC Tulsa | 2-0 |
| Nov 03 | Sacrame… v Orange … | 0-0 |
| Oct 26 | Sacrame… v Miami FC | 0-1 |
| Oct 23 | Sacrame… v Charles… | 1-0 |
| Oct 17 | Sacrame… v Lexingt… | 2-2 |
| Oct 11 | Sacrame… v Alloa A… | 3-2 |
| Oct 02 | Sacrame… v Orange … | 2-1 |
Phoenix Rising
6.0%
| Mar 29 | Phoenix… v FC Tulsa | 1-1 |
| Mar 22 | Phoenix… v Oakland… | 2-2 |
| Mar 15 | Phoenix… v Orange … | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Phoenix… v San Ant… | 2-1 |
| Nov 09 | Phoenix… v FC Tulsa | 1-0 |
| Nov 02 | Phoenix… v El Paso… | 0-1 |
| Oct 25 | Phoenix… v Pittsbu… | 0-0 |
| Oct 19 | Phoenix… v San Ant… | 1-0 |
| Oct 10 | Phoenix… v North C… | 0-2 |
| Oct 05 | Phoenix… v New Mex… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Sep 14, 2025 | Sacramento Re… | 2-2 | Phoenix Rising |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
65%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.