Primera Division · Apr 05, 2026 01:00
Alianza
PWR 35
Alianza
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Hércules
PWR 35
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Alianza Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
77%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (7%)3-1 (6%)2-0 (5%)2-1 (4%)3-2 (3%)1-0 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
Yes 59%
Over 3.5
70%
70%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Alianza
DLWLD
STABLE
Hércules
DLLLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy88%
FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesElevated draw risk (23.8%) - consider AHELITE but weak HWR (46%) + draw risk (24%) - skip
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Alianzavs
0.91
HérculesGoal Probability
Alianza
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Hércules
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (9%)4-0 (9%)5-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)4-1 (7%)2-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 5.5 | 35% | 65% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Alianza+8
Gap#11
Hércules
WR 46% 44 pts
WR 27% 17 pts
Alianza
8.0%
| Mar 29 | Alianza v Platense | 3-3 |
| Mar 22 | Alianza v Firpo | 2-1 |
| Mar 19 | Alianza v Cacahua… | 2-1 |
| Mar 15 | Alianza v Inter M… | 2-0 |
| Mar 12 | Alianza v Zacatec… | 3-3 |
| Mar 08 | Alianza v Fuerte … | 3-2 |
| Mar 01 | Alianza v Zacatec… | 0-2 |
| Feb 22 | Alianza v Municip… | 1-0 |
| Feb 19 | Alianza v Águila | 0-3 |
| Feb 15 | Alianza v FAS | 3-1 |
Hércules
4.0%
| Mar 29 | Hércules v Municip… | 1-1 |
| Mar 26 | Hércules v Águila | 0-1 |
| Mar 19 | Hércules v FAS | 4-0 |
| Mar 15 | Hércules v Fuerte … | 1-2 |
| Mar 08 | Hércules v Isidro … | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Hércules v Platense | 0-4 |
| Feb 22 | Hércules v Firpo | 3-2 |
| Feb 18 | Hércules v Cacahua… | 1-3 |
| Feb 14 | Hércules v Inter M… | 3-1 |
| Feb 10 | Hércules v FAS | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Feb 08, 2026 | Hércules | 1-4 | Alianza |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Alianza | 0-1 | Hércules |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Hércules | 2-5 | Alianza |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
67%
Market
50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Hércules struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.