Back Stats
Challenge League · Apr 06, 2026 18:45

Mgarr United
PWR 35
3-2
predicted

Santa LucĂ­a
PWR 35
57% 23% 20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Mgarr United Win
Score
3-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (9%)3-1 (8%)2-0 (8%)1-1 (7%)3-0 (7%)1-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5 68%
68%
Under 2.5
32%
BTTS Yes
Yes 65%
Over 3.5
41%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Mgarr United DWWWD
STABLE
Santa LucĂ­a LDWDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (31.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.57
Mgarr United
vs
1.20
Santa LucĂ­a
Goal Probability
Mgarr United
0
8%
1
20%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Santa LucĂ­a
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 96% 4% OVER
1.5 83% 17% OVER
2.5 63% 37% -
3.5 41% 59% -
4.5 23% 77% UNDER
5.5 11% 89% UNDER
6.5 5% 95% UNDER
League Position
#1
Mgarr United
+2
Gap
#3
Santa LucĂ­a
WR 33% 32 pts WR 33% 23 pts
Mgarr United 16.0%
Mar 15 Mgarr U… v Vittori… 1-1
Mar 08 Mgarr U… v Zebbug … 0-2
Feb 28 Mgarr U… v Marsa 1-2
Feb 21 Mgarr U… v Marsa 5-0
Feb 14 Mgarr U… v Gudja U… 0-0
Feb 07 Mgarr U… v Fgura U… 2-4
Feb 01 Mgarr U… v Zurrieq 1-1
Jan 28 Mgarr U… v Mosta 0-3
Jan 18 Mgarr U… v Marsa 1-3
Jan 10 Mgarr U… v Swieqi … 5-1
Santa LucĂ­a 8.0%
Mar 14 Santa L… v Marsa 0-1
Mar 08 Santa L… v Vittori… 1-1
Feb 28 Santa L… v Gudja U… 2-1
Feb 21 Santa L… v Zebbug … 1-1
Feb 14 Santa L… v St. And… 2-1
Feb 07 Santa L… v Birzebb… 0-1
Feb 01 Santa L… v Melita 2-2
Jan 18 Santa L… v Marsa 2-2
Jan 11 Santa L… v Zebbug … 0-0
Jan 04 Santa L… v Fgura U… 2-1
Head-to-Head (1)
Nov 23, 2025 Mgarr United 3-3 Santa LucĂ­a
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
85%
Standings
53%
Market
50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Mgarr United in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.