National League · Apr 06, 2026 14:00
Crawley Town
PWR 30
Bolton
PWR 39
Crawley Town
PWR 30
2-1
predicted
Bolton
PWR 39
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Crawley Town to win (60% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
60%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (12%)2-1 (9%)2-0 (9%)0-1 (8%)0-0 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS
Yes 51%
Over 3.5
28%
Team Comparison
33Attack38
51Defense73
Goals/G
1.11.3
Conc/G
1.60.9
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Crawley Town
LWDLL
STABLE
Bolton
DLDLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): National League
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Crawley Townvs
1.04
BoltonGoal Probability
Crawley Town
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4
5%
Bolton
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)0-1 (11%)1-2 (9%)0-2 (9%)1-0 (8%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 3.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#23
Crawley Town-5
Gap#18
Bolton
WR 22% 38 pts
WR 35% 92 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crawley Town | 41 | 9 | 11 | 21 | 37 | 65 | 38 |
| Bolton | 71 | 25 | 17 | 29 | 95 | 106 | 92 |
Crawley Town
6.0%
| Mar 28 | Crawley… v Tamworth | 0-1 |
| Mar 28 | Crawley… v Birming… | 2-0 |
| Mar 24 | Crawley… v Braintr… | 1-1 |
| Mar 21 | Crawley… v York | 4-0 |
| Mar 21 | Crawley… v Fleetwo… | 1-0 |
| Mar 17 | Crawley… v Solihul… | 1-1 |
| Mar 17 | Crawley… v Barnet | 1-1 |
| Mar 14 | Crawley… v Woking | 1-4 |
| Mar 13 | Crawley… v Manches… | 0-0 |
| Mar 10 | Crawley… v Eastlei… | 2-1 |
Bolton
6.0%
| Mar 24 | Bolton v Altrinc… | 2-2 |
| Mar 21 | Bolton v Carlisle | 6-2 |
| Mar 21 | Bolton v Stockpo… | 1-1 |
| Mar 21 | Bolton v Port Va… | 1-0 |
| Mar 17 | Bolton v Doncast… | 0-0 |
| Mar 17 | Bolton v Exeter … | 3-2 |
| Mar 14 | Bolton v Rotherh… | 2-2 |
| Mar 14 | Bolton v Yeovil … | 2-1 |
| Mar 14 | Bolton v Wycombe | 1-2 |
| Mar 10 | Bolton v Doncast… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Dec 30, 2025 | Bolton | 1-2 | Crawley Town |
| Feb 08, 2025 | Bolton | 4-3 | Crawley Town |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Crawley Town | 1-1 | Bolton |
| Nov 05, 2024 | Bolton | 0-0 | Crawley Town |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Crawley Town | 0-2 | Bolton |
| Nov 27, 2021 | Crawley Town | 1-2 | Bolton |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
67%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Crawley Town struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.