Serie B · Apr 06, 2026 17:30
Carrarese
PWR 35
Spezia
PWR 30
Carrarese
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Spezia
PWR 30
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Carrarese to win (80% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
80%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (17%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
31%
Under 2.5
69%
69%
BTTS
No 37%
Over 3.5
13%
Team Comparison
42Attack26
56Defense60
Goals/G
1.40.9
Conc/G
1.51.3
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Carrarese
WDDLD
STABLE
Spezia
LDLWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team draws 40% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 67% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Carraresevs
0.77
SpeziaGoal Probability
Carrarese
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Spezia
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (17%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 2.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#12
Carrarese+7
Gap#19
Spezia
WR 33% 33 pts
WR 20% 29 pts
Carrarese
10.0%
| Mar 22 | Carrareā¦ v Bari | 0-3 |
| Mar 18 | Carrareā¦ v Sampdorā¦ | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Carrareā¦ v Juve Stā¦ | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Carrareā¦ v Palermo | 0-1 |
| Mar 04 | Carrareā¦ v Catanzaā¦ | 3-3 |
| Mar 01 | Carrareā¦ v Mantova | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Carrareā¦ v Monza | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Carrareā¦ v Monza | 2-0 |
| Feb 10 | Carrareā¦ v Padova | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Carrareā¦ v Sudtirol | 0-0 |
Spezia
8.0%
| Mar 21 | Spezia v Juve Stā¦ | 3-1 |
| Mar 17 | Spezia v Empoli | 0-0 |
| Mar 13 | Spezia v Monza | 3-0 |
| Mar 07 | Spezia v Monza | 4-2 |
| Mar 03 | Spezia v Padova | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | Spezia v Reggianā¦ | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Spezia v Cosenza | 2-3 |
| Feb 15 | Spezia v Frosinoā¦ | 0-2 |
| Feb 11 | Spezia v Bari | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Spezia v Virtus ā¦ | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Aug 24, 2025 | Spezia | 0-2 | Carrarese |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Carrarese | 0-4 | Spezia |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Spezia | 4-2 | Carrarese |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
65%
Standings
64%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.