Serie B · Apr 05, 2026 15:15
Frosinone
PWR 45
Padova
PWR 32
Frosinone
PWR 45
4-1
predicted
Padova
PWR 32
63%
21%
16%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Frosinone Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (9%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5
40%
BTTS
Yes 53%
Over 3.5
47%
Team Comparison
55Attack29
74Defense63
Goals/G
1.81.0
Conc/G
0.91.2
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Frosinone
WWDWD
STABLE
Padova
LDLLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.38
Frosinonevs
0.89
PadovaGoal Probability
Frosinone
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Padova
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (9%)3-1 (8%)1-0 (8%)1-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 69% | 32% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 4.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Frosinone+8
Gap#11
Padova
WR 57% 59 pts
WR 33% 34 pts
Frosinone
16.0%
| Mar 22 | Frosino… v Sudtirol | 1-3 |
| Mar 18 | Frosino… v Bari | 2-1 |
| Mar 14 | Frosino… v Cosenza | 2-2 |
| Mar 08 | Frosino… v Sampdor… | 3-0 |
| Mar 04 | Frosino… v Pescara | 2-2 |
| Mar 01 | Frosino… v Catanza… | 2-2 |
| Feb 20 | Frosino… v Empoli | 2-2 |
| Feb 15 | Frosino… v Spezia | 0-2 |
| Feb 11 | Frosino… v Avellino | 1-3 |
| Feb 07 | Frosino… v Venezia | 1-2 |
Padova
4.0%
| Mar 21 | Padova v Palermo | 0-1 |
| Mar 17 | Padova v Venezia | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Padova v Catanza… | 1-3 |
| Mar 07 | Padova v Avellino | 1-0 |
| Mar 03 | Padova v Spezia | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | Padova v Monza | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Padova v Bari | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Padova v Sampdor… | 1-0 |
| Feb 10 | Padova v Carrare… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Padova v Juve St… | 3-3 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Sep 13, 2025 | Padova | 0-1 | Frosinone |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
87%
Standings
76%
Market
50%
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Frosinone in strong form (3W in last 5)
Padova struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.