Serie B · Apr 06, 2026 13:00
Bari
PWR 27
Monza
PWR 43
Bari
PWR 27
1-2
predicted
Monza
PWR 43
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Monza Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
55%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)2-0 (7%)2-2 (6%)1-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
69%
69%
Under 2.5
31%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 67%
Over 3.5
33%
Team Comparison
25Attack46
54Defense75
Goals/G
0.81.5
Conc/G
1.50.8
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Bari
LLWLW
DOWN
Monza
DWDWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy73%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAPAWAY_TABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 33% at home = very high riskH2H: 2/5 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.9%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
2.43
Barivs
1.34
MonzaGoal Probability
Bari
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Monza
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)0-1 (10%)1-2 (10%)0-2 (9%)1-0 (6%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 78% | 22% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 3.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 17% | 84% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#17
Bari-15
Gap#2
Monza
WR 33% 31 pts
WR 47% 63 pts
Bari
8.0%
| Mar 22 | Bari v Carrare… | 0-3 |
| Mar 18 | Bari v Frosino… | 2-1 |
| Mar 14 | Bari v Reggian… | 4-1 |
| Mar 08 | Bari v Pescara | 4-0 |
| Mar 04 | Bari v Empoli | 2-1 |
| Feb 27 | Bari v Sampdor… | 0-2 |
| Feb 21 | Bari v Padova | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Bari v Sudtirol | 1-2 |
| Feb 11 | Bari v Spezia | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Bari v Mantova | 2-1 |
Monza
16.0%
| Mar 21 | Monza v Venezia | 1-1 |
| Mar 21 | Monza v Mantova | 2-0 |
| Mar 17 | Monza v Reggian… | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Monza v Palermo | 3-0 |
| Mar 13 | Monza v Spezia | 3-0 |
| Mar 07 | Monza v Cosenza | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Monza v Spezia | 4-2 |
| Mar 03 | Monza v Virtus … | 2-1 |
| Mar 03 | Monza v Cosenza | 1-3 |
| Feb 28 | Monza v Padova | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Sep 13, 2025 | Monza | 3-0 | Bari |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Bari | 1-1 | Monza |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Bari | 1-2 | Monza |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Monza | 2-1 | Bari |
| Apr 01, 2024 | Monza | 1-1 | Bari |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
81%
Standings
30%
Market
50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Monza in strong form (3W in last 5)
Bari struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.