Eerste Divisie · Apr 06, 2026 14:45
De Graafschap
PWR 35
Jong AZ
PWR 35
De Graafschap
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Jong AZ
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: De Graafschap to win (95% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)1-0 (7%)3-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
66%
66%
Under 2.5
34%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 63%
Over 3.5
63%
63%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
De Graafschap
WLWLD
STABLE
Jong AZ
LWWDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Eerste Divisie
Expected Goals (xG)
2.40
De Graafschapvs
1.18
Jong AZGoal Probability
De Graafsch…
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Jong AZ
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)2-2 (6%)1-1 (6%)3-2 (6%)2-0 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 81% | 20% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 4.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 5.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
De Graafsch…+14
Gap#17
Jong AZ
WR 47% 55 pts
WR 47% 34 pts
De Graafschap
10.0%
| Mar 28 | De Graa… v Willem … | 0-2 |
| Mar 22 | De Graa… v ADO Den… | 1-2 |
| Mar 14 | De Graa… v Dordrec… | 2-1 |
| Mar 08 | De Graa… v Vitesse | 1-4 |
| Feb 27 | De Graa… v MVV Maa… | 3-3 |
| Feb 20 | De Graa… v Utrecht | 1-0 |
| Feb 13 | De Graa… v Jong PSV | 1-2 |
| Feb 06 | De Graa… v Jong AZ | 4-0 |
| Jan 31 | De Graa… v Helmond… | 0-0 |
| Jan 26 | De Graa… v Den Bos… | 1-1 |
Jong AZ
10.0%
| Mar 20 | Jong AZ v Almere … | 0-2 |
| Mar 20 | Jong AZ v Cambuur | 3-4 |
| Mar 17 | Jong AZ v VVV Ven… | 0-1 |
| Mar 16 | Jong AZ v MVV Maa… | 1-1 |
| Mar 13 | Jong AZ v Waalwijk | 2-1 |
| Mar 13 | Jong AZ v Den Bos… | 3-2 |
| Mar 09 | Jong AZ v Emmen | 2-3 |
| Mar 06 | Jong AZ v PSV Ein… | 2-1 |
| Feb 27 | Jong AZ v Helmond… | 5-1 |
| Feb 27 | Jong AZ v Vitesse | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 06, 2026 | De Graafschap | 4-0 | Jong AZ |
| Oct 03, 2025 | Jong AZ | 2-2 | De Graafschap |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Jong AZ | 1-3 | De Graafschap |
| Apr 19, 2025 | De Graafschap | 2-0 | Jong AZ |
| Dec 09, 2024 | Jong AZ | 2-0 | De Graafschap |
| Mar 11, 2024 | De Graafschap | 0-2 | Jong AZ |
| Aug 21, 2023 | Jong AZ | 1-2 | De Graafschap |
| Jan 13, 2023 | De Graafschap | 3-0 | Jong AZ |
| Aug 22, 2022 | Jong AZ | 5-1 | De Graafschap |
| May 06, 2022 | Jong AZ | 1-1 | De Graafschap |
Decision Breakdown
TOP3vsBot (75.8%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
83%
Standings
71%
Market
50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.