Back Stats
Eerste Divisie · Apr 06, 2026 14:45

Roda
PWR 31
1-1
predicted

Willem II
PWR 35
31% 28% 41%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-2 (15%)0-3 (13%)0-1 (12%)1-2 (8%)1-3 (7%)1-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
BTTS
No 38%
Over 3.5
32%
Team Comparison
90Attack0
0Defense100
Goals/G
3.00.0
Conc/G
7.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Roda DLDLD
STABLE
Willem II LWWDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Eerste Divisie
Expected Goals (xG)
0.53
Roda
vs
2.47
Willem II
Goal Probability
Roda
0
59%
1
31%
2
8%
3
2%
4
0%
Willem II
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (11%)1-1 (11%)0-2 (10%)1-2 (10%)0-3 (6%)1-3 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 94% 6% OVER
1.5 78% 22% OVER
2.5 54% 46% -
3.5 32% 68% UNDER
4.5 16% 84% UNDER
5.5 7% 93% UNDER
6.5 3% 97% UNDER
League Position
#8
Roda
-4
Gap
#4
Willem II
WR 24% 48 pts WR 47% 53 pts
Roda 6.0%
Mar 20 Roda v Helmond… 1-1
Mar 16 Roda v Vitesse 0-1
Mar 13 Roda v Cambuur 1-1
Mar 06 Roda v Jong PSV 0-2
Feb 27 Roda v Den Bos… 2-2
Feb 22 Roda v MVV Maa… 2-0
Feb 13 Roda v Waalwijk 1-2
Feb 06 Roda v ADO Den… 0-3
Jan 30 Roda v Almere … 1-2
Jan 26 Roda v VVV Ven… 2-2
Willem II 14.0%
Mar 28 Willem … v De Graa… 0-2
Mar 22 Willem … v MVV Maa… 0-5
Mar 13 Willem … v FC OSS 1-3
Mar 08 Willem … v Den Bos… 1-1
Feb 27 Willem … v Emmen 0-3
Feb 24 Willem … v ADO Den… 0-1
Feb 20 Willem … v Vitesse 3-0
Feb 16 Willem … v Utrecht 1-1
Feb 08 Willem … v Waalwijk 2-1
Feb 02 Willem … v Jong AZ 2-1
Head-to-Head (1)
Oct 03, 2025 Willem II 1-2 Roda
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
42%
Market
50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Willem II in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.