Ligue 2 · Apr 06, 2026 18:45
Lens
PWR 44
Pau FC
PWR 34
Lens
PWR 44
2-2
predicted
Pau FC
PWR 34
59%
22%
19%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Pau FC Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)2-0 (7%)3-0 (7%)1-1 (6%)2-2 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
70%
70%
Under 2.5
30%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 66%
Over 3.5
51%
Team Comparison
51Attack43
76Defense53
Goals/G
1.71.4
Conc/G
0.81.6
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Lens
WLWWW
STABLE
Pau FC
DWDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.4%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
2.90
Lensvs
1.19
Pau FCGoal Probability
Lens
0
6%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
Pau FC
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (9%)2-0 (9%)3-1 (8%)3-0 (8%)1-1 (7%)1-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 72% | 28% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 4.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
League Position
#15
Lens-11
Gap#4
Pau FC
WR 44% 47 pts
WR 29% 123 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lens | 27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 37 | 26 | 47 |
| Pau FC | 102 | 30 | 33 | 39 | 133 | 157 | 123 |
Lens
16.0%
| Mar 20 | Lens v Angers | 1-0 |
| Mar 14 | Lens v Lorient | 2-1 |
| Mar 13 | Lens v Annecy | 2-4 |
| Mar 08 | Lens v Metz | 3-0 |
| Mar 07 | Lens v Annecy | 3-0 |
| Mar 05 | Lens v Olympiq… | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | Lens v Red Star | 0-0 |
| Feb 27 | Lens v Strasbo… | 1-1 |
| Feb 23 | Lens v Guingamp | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Lens v AS Mona… | 2-3 |
Pau FC
8.0%
| Mar 20 | Pau FC v Montpel… | 0-0 |
| Mar 13 | Pau FC v Clermont | 0-1 |
| Mar 06 | Pau FC v Bastia | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | Pau FC v St Etie… | 0-3 |
| Feb 21 | Pau FC v Estac T… | 4-3 |
| Feb 13 | Pau FC v Boulogne | 1-2 |
| Feb 06 | Pau FC v Red Star | 0-3 |
| Jan 30 | Pau FC v Laval | 0-1 |
| Jan 23 | Pau FC v Grenoble | 2-2 |
| Jan 16 | Pau FC v Dunkerq… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 21, 2025 | Pau FC | 1-2 | Lens |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
90%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Lens in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.