First Division · Apr 06, 2026 16:00
Athlone Town
PWR 35
Longford Town
PWR 35
Athlone Town
PWR 35
3-1
predicted
Longford Town
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Athlone Town Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (12%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (9%)3-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS
Yes 50%
Over 3.5
33%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Athlone Town
LLWLD
DOWN
Longford Town
LWLDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk36%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskH2H: 3/5 draws (60%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskAway draws 67% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 100% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (36.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.24
Athlone Townvs
0.83
Longford TownGoal Probability
Athlone Town
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Longford To…
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)1-2 (9%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (8%)1-0 (7%)0-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 3.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Athlone Town+3
Gap#7
Longford To…
WR 67% 10 pts
WR 0% 6 pts
Athlone Town
6.0%
| Mar 27 | Athlone… v Cork Ci… | 4-1 |
| Mar 20 | Athlone… v Treaty … | 2-0 |
| Mar 13 | Athlone… v Cobh Ra… | 2-0 |
| Mar 06 | Athlone… v Bray Wa… | 2-1 |
| Feb 27 | Athlone… v Wexford | 2-2 |
| Feb 20 | Athlone… v Kerry FC | 0-1 |
| Feb 13 | Athlone… v Finn Ha… | 2-1 |
| Jan 16 | Athlone… v Bohemia… | 4-1 |
| Oct 17 | Athlone… v Longfor… | 1-2 |
| Oct 10 | Athlone… v UCD | 2-2 |
Longford Town
8.0%
| Mar 28 | Longfor… v Finn Ha… | 0-1 |
| Mar 21 | Longfor… v Wexford | 2-0 |
| Mar 13 | Longfor… v Cork Ci… | 2-1 |
| Mar 07 | Longfor… v UCD | 0-0 |
| Feb 27 | Longfor… v Kerry FC | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Longfor… v Cobh Ra… | 1-2 |
| Feb 13 | Longfor… v Bray Wa… | 1-1 |
| Jan 16 | Longfor… v Bohemia… | 2-1 |
| Oct 17 | Longfor… v Athlone… | 1-2 |
| Oct 10 | Longfor… v Cobh Ra… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Oct 17, 2025 | Athlone Town | 1-2 | Longford Town |
| Jun 23, 2025 | Longford Town | 3-2 | Athlone Town |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Athlone Town | 1-1 | Longford Town |
| Mar 01, 2025 | Longford Town | 1-1 | Athlone Town |
| Oct 05, 2024 | Longford Town | 1-1 | Athlone Town |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
86%
Standings
75%
Market
50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Athlone Town struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.