Championship · Apr 06, 2026 14:00
Ipswich
PWR 43
Birmingham
PWR 36
Ipswich
PWR 43
3-1
predicted
Birmingham
PWR 36
61%
22%
17%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Ipswich Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
68%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (18%)2-0 (18%)1-0 (12%)0-0 (4%)3-1 (4%)2-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
BTTS
No
No 17%
Over 3.5
53%
Team Comparison
51Attack41
71Defense62
Goals/G
1.71.4
Conc/G
1.01.3
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Ipswich
DWDDW
STABLE
Birmingham
LLLLD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy73%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 35% at home = very high riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (25.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.08
Ipswichvs
0.20
BirminghamGoal Probability
Ipswich
0
5%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Birmingham
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (13%)2-0 (12%)4-0 (11%)1-0 (7%)5-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 90% | 11% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 53% | 47% | - |
| 4.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Ipswich+8
Gap#11
Birmingham
WR 60% 69 pts
WR 25% 53 pts
Ipswich
14.0%
| Mar 21 | Ipswich v Millwall | 1-1 |
| Mar 14 | Ipswich v Sheffie… | 0-2 |
| Mar 10 | Ipswich v Stoke C… | 3-3 |
| Mar 07 | Ipswich v Leicest… | 1-1 |
| Mar 03 | Ipswich v Hull Ci… | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Ipswich v Swansea | 3-0 |
| Feb 24 | Ipswich v Watford | 0-2 |
| Feb 21 | Ipswich v Wrexham | 5-3 |
| Feb 13 | Ipswich v Wrexham | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Ipswich v Derby | 1-2 |
Birmingham
2.0%
| Mar 28 | Birming… v Crawley… | 2-0 |
| Mar 21 | Birming… v Bristol… | 1-2 |
| Mar 21 | Birming… v Derby | 1-0 |
| Mar 17 | Birming… v Swindon | 0-2 |
| Mar 14 | Birming… v Sheffie… | 1-1 |
| Mar 14 | Birming… v Cambrid… | 5-0 |
| Mar 11 | Birming… v QPR | 1-0 |
| Mar 10 | Birming… v Milton … | 1-5 |
| Mar 07 | Birming… v Charlton | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Birming… v Fleetwo… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Aug 08, 2025 | Birmingham | 1-1 | Ipswich |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Ipswich | 3-1 | Birmingham |
Decision Breakdown
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)S75+DR<25 (81.8%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
76%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Birmingham struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.