Championship · Apr 06, 2026 16:30
Swansea
PWR 34
Middlesbrough
PWR 41
Swansea
PWR 34
1-1
predicted
Middlesbrough
PWR 41
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)0-0 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS
Yes 51%
Over 3.5
14%
Team Comparison
34Attack47
63Defense71
Goals/G
1.11.6
Conc/G
1.21.0
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Swansea
LLWWL
DOWN
Middlesbrough
DDLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Swanseavs
1.09
MiddlesbroughGoal Probability
Swansea
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Middlesbrou…
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (15%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)1-0 (12%)0-2 (8%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 2.5 | 32% | 69% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#14
Swansea-12
Gap#2
Middlesbrou…
WR 50% 52 pts
WR 50% 71 pts
Swansea
8.0%
| Mar 21 | Swansea v Coventry | 0-3 |
| Mar 13 | Swansea v Wrexham | 2-0 |
| Mar 10 | Swansea v Portsmo… | 1-2 |
| Mar 07 | Swansea v Stoke C… | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Swansea v Ipswich | 3-0 |
| Feb 24 | Swansea v Preston | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Swansea v Bristol… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Swansea v Derby | 2-0 |
| Feb 08 | Swansea v Sheffie… | 4-0 |
| Jan 31 | Swansea v Watford | 0-2 |
Middlesbrough
12.0%
| Mar 21 | Middles… v Blackbu… | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Middles… v Bristol… | 1-1 |
| Mar 11 | Middles… v Charlton | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | Middles… v QPR | 0-4 |
| Mar 02 | Middles… v Birming… | 1-3 |
| Feb 24 | Middles… v Leicest… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Middles… v Oxford … | 0-0 |
| Feb 16 | Middles… v Coventry | 3-1 |
| Feb 09 | Middles… v Sheffie… | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | Middles… v Norwich… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Aug 09, 2025 | Middlesbrough | 1-0 | Swansea |
| Mar 08, 2025 | Swansea | 1-0 | Middlesbrough |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Middlesbrough | 1-0 | Swansea |
| Apr 06, 2024 | Middlesbrough | 2-0 | Swansea |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Swansea | 1-2 | Middlesbrough |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
64%
Standings
30%
Market
50%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Swansea struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.