Premier Division · Apr 06, 2026 16:00
Dundalk
PWR 35
St Patrick's Athl.
PWR 35
Dundalk
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
St Patrick's Athl.
PWR 35
31%
28%
41%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (21%)1-0 (21%)3-0 (14%)0-0 (10%)2-1 (5%)1-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
38%
Under 2.5
62%
62%
BTTS
No
No 19%
Over 3.5
15%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Dundalk
DDWDL
STABLE
St Patrick's A…
DWWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 83% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Dundalkvs
0.25
St Patrick's A…Goal Probability
Dundalk
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
St Patrick'…
0
78%
1
20%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (14%)1-1 (14%)0-0 (13%)1-0 (12%)0-2 (8%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 61% | 39% | - |
| 2.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Dundalk-3
Gap#2
St Patrick'…
WR 50% 7 pts
WR 33% 13 pts
Dundalk
10.0%
| Mar 20 | Dundalk v Bohemia… | 1-1 |
| Mar 16 | Dundalk v Sligo R… | 0-0 |
| Mar 13 | Dundalk v Wexford | 5-0 |
| Mar 06 | Dundalk v Galway … | 2-2 |
| Feb 27 | Dundalk v St Patr… | 4-0 |
| Feb 23 | Dundalk v Shamroc… | 1-1 |
| Feb 20 | Dundalk v Droghed… | 1-1 |
| Feb 13 | Dundalk v Kerry FC | 2-2 |
| Oct 17 | Dundalk v Cobh Ra… | 1-2 |
| Oct 10 | Dundalk v Finn Ha… | 3-0 |
St Patrick's A…
18.0%
| Mar 16 | St Patr… v Kerry FC | 0-0 |
| Mar 13 | St Patr… v Droghed… | 4-1 |
| Mar 06 | St Patr… v Shelbou… | 2-3 |
| Mar 02 | St Patr… v Galway … | 1-0 |
| Feb 27 | St Patr… v Dundalk | 4-0 |
| Feb 20 | St Patr… v Shamroc… | 2-0 |
| Feb 08 | St Patr… v Bohemia… | 0-0 |
| Nov 01 | St Patr… v Melbour… | 0-0 |
| Oct 24 | St Patr… v Wexford | 1-1 |
| Oct 20 | St Patr… v Bohemia… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 27, 2026 | St Patrick's … | 4-0 | Dundalk |
| Sep 05, 2024 | Dundalk | 1-2 | St Patrick's … |
| Jun 03, 2024 | St Patrick's … | 2-3 | Dundalk |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Dundalk | 0-0 | St Patrick's … |
| Mar 08, 2024 | St Patrick's … | 1-0 | Dundalk |
| Sep 22, 2023 | St Patrick's … | 3-1 | Dundalk |
| Jun 26, 2023 | Dundalk | 1-1 | St Patrick's … |
| May 26, 2023 | St Patrick's … | 2-1 | Dundalk |
| Mar 03, 2023 | Dundalk | 5-0 | St Patrick's … |
| Oct 07, 2022 | Dundalk | 1-2 | St Patrick's … |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
90%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
St Patrick's Athl. in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.