3. SNL - East · Apr 04, 2026 14:00
Ljutomer
PWR 35
Ljutomer
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Šmartno
PWR 35
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (11%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (9%)2-0 (8%)1-2 (7%)0-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
BTTS
Yes 58%
Over 3.5
20%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Ljutomer
LWLDL
STABLE
Šmartno
WDLDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 62% at home = very high riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskCombined DR 100% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Ljutomervs
1.20
ŠmartnoGoal Probability
Ljutomer
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Šmartno
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)0-1 (12%)1-0 (11%)0-0 (10%)1-2 (8%)0-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 67% | 34% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 3.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#12
Ljutomer-2
Gap#10
Šmartno
WR 13% 10 pts
WR 13% 18 pts
Ljutomer
6.0%
| Mar 28 | Ljutomer v Brežice | 2-0 |
| Mar 21 | Ljutomer v Zavrč | 1-0 |
| Mar 14 | Ljutomer v Rače | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Ljutomer v Podvinci | 1-1 |
| Nov 15 | Ljutomer v Fužinar | 3-0 |
| Nov 08 | Ljutomer v Videm | 2-2 |
| Oct 31 | Ljutomer v Dobrovce | 1-1 |
| Oct 25 | Ljutomer v Rogaška | 1-1 |
| Oct 21 | Ljutomer v Rudar | 0-3 |
| Oct 12 | Ljutomer v Čarda M… | 1-5 |
Šmartno
8.0%
| Mar 29 | Šmartno v Hajdina | 1-0 |
| Mar 21 | Šmartno v Korotan… | 1-1 |
| Mar 15 | Šmartno v Čarda M… | 3-2 |
| Mar 08 | Šmartno v Brežice | 1-1 |
| Nov 15 | Šmartno v Zavrč | 2-0 |
| Nov 08 | Šmartno v Rače | 1-1 |
| Oct 31 | Šmartno v Podvinci | 0-0 |
| Oct 24 | Šmartno v Fužinar | 5-1 |
| Oct 19 | Šmartno v Videm | 1-2 |
| Oct 15 | Šmartno v Rogaška | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Sep 21, 2025 | Šmartno | 4-2 | Ljutomer |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
68%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Ljutomer struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.