3. SNL - East · Apr 04, 2026 14:00
Rogaška
PWR 35
Rogaška
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Zavrč
PWR 35
PWR 35
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (18%)2-0 (18%)3-0 (12%)0-0 (9%)1-1 (7%)2-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS
No
No 28%
Over 3.5
13%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Rogaška
DLLDW
STABLE
Zavrč
LWLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team draws 62% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Rogaškavs
0.40
ZavrčGoal Probability
Rogaška
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Zavrč
0
67%
1
27%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (22%)2-0 (17%)0-0 (14%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (9%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 2.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Rogaška-4
Gap#4
Zavrč
WR 38% 21 pts
WR 25% 26 pts
Rogaška
8.0%
| Mar 29 | Rogaška v Rače | 0-0 |
| Mar 21 | Rogaška v Podvinci | 0-1 |
| Mar 15 | Rogaška v Fužinar | 2-1 |
| Mar 07 | Rogaška v Videm | 0-0 |
| Nov 15 | Rogaška v Dobrovce | 0-2 |
| Nov 08 | Rogaška v Čarda M… | 3-3 |
| Oct 25 | Rogaška v Ljutomer | 1-1 |
| Oct 18 | Rogaška v Hajdina | 0-0 |
| Oct 15 | Rogaška v Šmartno | 1-2 |
| Oct 11 | Rogaška v Korotan… | 4-0 |
Zavrč
12.0%
| Mar 21 | Zavrč v Ljutomer | 1-0 |
| Mar 14 | Zavrč v Hajdina | 0-2 |
| Mar 07 | Zavrč v Korotan… | 4-0 |
| Nov 15 | Zavrč v Šmartno | 2-0 |
| Nov 08 | Zavrč v Brežice | 1-0 |
| Nov 02 | Zavrč v Čarda M… | 2-0 |
| Oct 25 | Zavrč v Rače | 0-0 |
| Oct 18 | Zavrč v Podvinci | 0-1 |
| Oct 11 | Zavrč v Fužinar | 1-2 |
| Oct 04 | Zavrč v Videm | 0-4 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Sep 20, 2025 | Zavrč | 2-1 | Rogaška |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
88%
Standings
42%
Market
50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Zavrč in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.