Premier League · Apr 04, 2026 15:00
Akhmat Grozny
PWR 35
Krasnodar
PWR 35
Akhmat Grozny
PWR 35
0-1
predicted
Krasnodar
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Krasnodar to win (55% confidence)
Score
0-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (18%)2-0 (16%)1-0 (9%)3-1 (4%)2-1 (3%)0-0 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS
No
No 18%
Over 3.5
28%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Akhmat Grozny
WDDWD
STABLE
Krasnodar
WWWLL
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesAway draws 40% away = VERY HIGHElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
3.41
Akhmat Groznyvs
0.20
KrasnodarGoal Probability
Akhmat Groz…
0
3%
1
11%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
Krasnodar
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (9%)1-2 (8%)2-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 3.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Akhmat Groz…-8
Gap#1
Krasnodar
WR 60% 27 pts
WR 50% 46 pts
Akhmat Grozny
14.0%
| Mar 21 | Akhmat … v FC Rost… | 1-0 |
| Mar 15 | Akhmat … v Akron | 1-1 |
| Mar 09 | Akhmat … v Lokomot… | 2-2 |
| Mar 01 | Akhmat … v CSKA Mo… | 1-0 |
| Feb 18 | Akhmat … v Baltika | 2-2 |
| Feb 11 | Akhmat … v Bars | 2-0 |
| Jan 29 | Akhmat … v Vardar … | 1-0 |
| Dec 05 | Akhmat … v Orenburg | 1-0 |
| Nov 30 | Akhmat … v Dinamo … | 2-1 |
| Nov 22 | Akhmat … v Rubin | 1-0 |
Krasnodar
12.0%
| Mar 21 | Krasnod… v Nizhny … | 5-0 |
| Mar 17 | Krasnod… v CSKA Mo… | 4-0 |
| Mar 14 | Krasnod… v PFC Soc… | 1-2 |
| Mar 08 | Krasnod… v Rubin | 2-1 |
| Mar 04 | Krasnod… v CSKA Mo… | 3-1 |
| Feb 28 | Krasnod… v FC Rost… | 2-1 |
| Feb 06 | Krasnod… v Zenit S… | 3-0 |
| Feb 03 | Krasnod… v CSKA Mo… | 2-2 |
| Jan 27 | Krasnod… v Yelimay… | 2-1 |
| Dec 07 | Krasnod… v CSKA Mo… | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Oct 04, 2025 | Krasnodar | 2-0 | Akhmat Grozny |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Krasnodar | 3-1 | Akhmat Grozny |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Krasnodar | 1-2 | Akhmat Grozny |
| Oct 02, 2024 | Akhmat Grozny | 3-0 | Krasnodar |
| May 04, 2024 | Krasnodar | 0-1 | Akhmat Grozny |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
34%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Krasnodar in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.