A Lyga · Apr 03, 2026 16:00
Sūduva Marijampolė
PWR 35
FK Trakai
PWR 35
Sūduva Marijampolė
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
FK Trakai
PWR 35
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Sūduva Marijampolė Win
Score
1-0
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (16%)2-0 (12%)1-0 (6%)3-1 (3%)2-1 (2%)0-0 (1%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS
No
No 18%
Over 3.5
27%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Sūduva Marijam…
LDLWD
STABLE
FK Trakai
DLLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 67% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateH2H: 2/4 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 67% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (31.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.03
Sūduva Marijam…vs
0.20
FK TrakaiGoal Probability
Sūduva Mari…
0
2%
1
7%
2
14%
3
19%
4
20%
FK Trakai
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (18%)1-0 (16%)3-0 (14%)4-0 (8%)0-0 (7%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 3.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 13% | 88% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Sūduva Mari…+4
Gap#10
FK Trakai
WR 33% 6 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
Sūduva Marijam…
8.0%
| Mar 21 | Sūduva … v Kauno Ž… | 1-0 |
| Mar 14 | Sūduva … v Hegelma… | 0-0 |
| Mar 10 | Sūduva … v FK Zalg… | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Sūduva … v TransIN… | 2-0 |
| Mar 01 | Sūduva … v Šiauliai | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Sūduva … v Panevėž… | 0-0 |
| Feb 14 | Sūduva … v BFC Dau… | 5-3 |
| Nov 08 | Sūduva … v Hegelma… | 2-1 |
| Nov 02 | Sūduva … v Šiauliai | 2-2 |
| Oct 27 | Sūduva … v Kauno Ž… | 1-0 |
FK Trakai
2.0%
| Mar 20 | FK Trak… v Šiauliai | 1-1 |
| Mar 15 | FK Trak… v Panevėž… | 2-1 |
| Mar 11 | FK Trak… v Džiugas… | 0-2 |
| Mar 08 | FK Trak… v Banga | 5-0 |
| Mar 01 | FK Trak… v TransIN… | 3-0 |
| Feb 23 | FK Trak… v Kauno Ž… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | FK Trak… v TransIN… | 4-0 |
| Jan 10 | FK Trak… v Banga | 2-2 |
| Nov 15 | FK Trak… v Neptūną… | 0-0 |
| Nov 08 | FK Trak… v Dainava | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Oct 04, 2025 | FK Trakai | 0-0 | Sūduva Marija… |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Sūduva Marija… | 0-0 | FK Trakai |
| Jun 01, 2025 | Sūduva Marija… | 4-1 | FK Trakai |
| Mar 01, 2025 | FK Trakai | 3-4 | Sūduva Marija… |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
66%
Market
50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
FK Trakai struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.