A Lyga · Apr 05, 2026 15:45

FK Zalgiris Vilnius
PWR 35
3-4
predicted

Kauno Žalgiris
PWR 35
35% 27% 38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Kauno Žalgiris Win
Score
3-4
Confidence
37%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (12%)0-2 (11%)1-1 (11%)1-2 (10%)0-0 (7%)0-3 (7%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
BTTS
No 49%
Over 3.5
22%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
FK Zalgiris Vi… DLWWW
STABLE
Kauno Žalgiris WWWWW
UP
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskElevated draw risk (22.7%) - consider AH
Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
FK Zalgiris Vi…
vs
1.81
Kauno Žalgiris
Goal Probability
FK Zalgiris…
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Kauno Žalgi…
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-2 (10%)0-0 (9%)1-2 (9%)1-0 (9%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 91% 9% OVER
1.5 69% 32% OVER
2.5 42% 58% -
3.5 22% 79% UNDER
4.5 9% 91% UNDER
5.5 3% 97% UNDER
6.5 1% 99% UNDER
League Position
#3
FK Zalgiris…
-2
Gap
#1
Kauno Žalgi…
WR 67% 9 pts WR 100% 15 pts
FK Zalgiris Vi… 14.0%
Mar 22 FK Zalg… v Hegelma… 0-0
Mar 16 FK Zalg… v TransIN… 1-2
Mar 10 FK Zalg… v Sūduva … 1-0
Mar 07 FK Zalg… v Šiauliai 0-2
Feb 27 FK Zalg… v Panevėž… 4-1
Feb 21 FK Zalg… v Džiugas… 2-3
Feb 14 FK Zalg… v Ogre Un… 2-1
Feb 08 FK Zalg… v Hegelma… 1-0
Feb 04 FK Zalg… v Rīgas FS 4-2
Feb 03 FK Zalg… v Esbjerg 0-1
Kauno Žalgiris 20.0%
Mar 21 Kauno Ž… v Sūduva … 1-0
Mar 15 Kauno Ž… v Šiauliai 0-5
Mar 10 Kauno Ž… v Panevėž… 4-0
Mar 07 Kauno Ž… v Džiugas… 1-2
Feb 28 Kauno Ž… v Banga 1-0
Feb 23 Kauno Ž… v FK Trak… 1-2
Feb 16 Kauno Ž… v Panevėž… 1-0
Jan 30 Kauno Ž… v Dynamo … 0-0
Nov 08 Kauno Ž… v Banga 0-0
Nov 02 Kauno Ž… v Panevėž… 3-2
Head-to-Head (4)
Oct 22, 2025 Kauno Žalgiris 1-2 FK Zalgiris V…
Aug 04, 2025 FK Zalgiris V… 1-2 Kauno Žalgiris
May 17, 2025 Kauno Žalgiris 3-0 FK Zalgiris V…
Apr 06, 2025 FK Zalgiris V… 0-0 Kauno Žalgiris
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
36%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
FK Zalgiris Vilnius in strong form (3W in last 5)
Kauno Žalgiris in strong form (5W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.